SpiceJet Soars to Profit: Q4 Surge Delivers First Annual Gain in Seven Years

Business, Equities, Expert Views, Investor Forum, Market News, Markets, Research, Research Reports, Result Updates - September 15, 2023

SpiceJet Result update Q1FY24

SpiceJet Result update: Q1FY24

Company Overview:

SpiceJet Ltd, a holding company incorporated on February 9, 1984, is a prominent player in the Indian aviation industry. It primarily operates in the air transport sector, providing passenger and cargo services. In the domestic aviation market, SpiceJet holds the second-largest market share of approximately 13%, while it maintains a similar market share in the international aviation market among domestic players, ranking as the third-largest, trailing Air India and Indigo Airlines. Notably, SpiceJet is the largest cargo operator in India. The company’s extensive network covers 53 domestic and 12 international destinations for its passenger services and a remarkable 107 destinations for its cargo business, making it India’s leading passenger airline concerning regional connectivity.

Revenue breakdown and Valuation:

SpiceJet’s revenue structure is diversified, with the air transport segment contributing around 71% of its revenues, encompassing passenger transport both domestically and internationally. The remaining 21% of its revenues come from Freight & Logistics Services, which include its cargo operations under the brand name Spice Xpress, offering cargo connectivity across India and internationally. As for valuation, the stock currently trades at a negative Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio, with a share price of 40 Rs. The Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) stands at -24.4%, reflecting financial challenges. The current ratio is 0.22, indicating potential liquidity concerns, and the interest coverage ratio is -0.02, signaling difficulties in covering interest expenses. The Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio is 10.4.

Q1FY24 Results Updates:

In the most recent quarterly update, SpiceJet’s standalone revenue experienced an 18.52% YoY decrease (-6.67% QoQ) to 20,017 million Rs., largely attributed to a substantial 70% reduction in freighter and logistics services (-10% in air transport services). Nevertheless, the company managed to improve its EBITDA by 1.6x YoY (133x QoQ) to 2,675 million Rs. due to a remarkable 37% reduction in operating costs. EBITDA margins stood at 13.37% (PQ- 0.09%), demonstrating improved operational efficiency. Furthermore, EBIT grew by 108% YoY (127% QoQ) to 603 million Rs., primarily driven by a 26% fall in depreciation expenses, resulting in EBIT margins improving to 3.01% (PQ- -10%). Profits After Tax (PAT) witnessed significant growth, increasing by 125% YoY (12x QoQ) to 2,024 million Rs., thanks to a 12.3x increase in other income from non-core business activities. Earnings Per Share (EPS) stood at 3.39 Rs (PQ-0.28 Rs), reflecting a 125% YoY growth.

Conclusion:

SpiceJet Ltd, a key player in the Indian aviation industry, has shown significant resilience and adaptability in its financial performance. Despite challenges in the aviation sector, the company managed to improve its operational efficiency in Q1FY24, leading to substantial growth in EBITDA and PAT. However, it still faces financial hurdles, as evident from its negative PE ratio, low current ratio, and negative interest coverage ratio. The company’s cargo operations and regional passenger connectivity remain strengths in its portfolio, but it will need to address its financial stability to ensure long-term sustainability in a highly competitive market.

Astral Pipes posted a net profit of Rs. 96 Cr.

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Business, Equities, Expert Views, Investor Forum, Market News, Markets, Research, Research Reports, Result Updates - September 14, 2023

Indian Railways Finance Corporation Result update Q1FY24

Overview:

Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC) Ltd, established in December 1986, serves as the financing arm for the Indian Railways. Registered as a non-deposit taking NBFC and infrastructure finance company with the RBI, its primary goal is to secure funds from the financial market for the acquisition and creation of assets, which are then leased to the Indian Railways and other entities. IRFC issues both taxable and tax-free bonds and obtains term loans from banks and financial institutions for its borrowing and lending activities within the Ministry of Railways (MoR).

Diversified Borrowing Mix :

IRFC boasts a diverse funding profile, encompassing taxable and tax-free bonds, term loans, commercial papers, and external commercial borrowings (ECB). Its strong CRISIL/ICRA ratings (AAA/A1+) have allowed it to secure low-cost borrowings. As of June 30, 2023, the company’s total debt stood at INR 4,10,099 crore, comprising ECB bonds (45%), term loans (32%), ECB (16%), and other sources. IRFC enjoys a margin of 40 bps/35 bps over the weighted average cost of borrowing for financing Rolling Stock and Project Assets, respectively, for FY23.

Clientele:

In addition to lending to the Indian Railways, IRFC extends loans to other entities within the Ministry of Railways, such as Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd and IRCON International Limited.

Financial Performance:

Robust AUM Growth in Q1FY24:

In Q1FY24, IRFC’s Assets Under Management (AUM) reached INR 4,66,251 crore, reflecting an 8% YoY growth and a 5-year CAGR of 23.88%. These assets are diversified across railway assets (47.53%), rolling assets (38.10%), project assets (13.30%), and other assets (1.06%). With 98.94% of AUM exposure to the Ministry of Railways, the credit risk is minimal. However, Q1FY24 disbursements have declined over the last three years.

Cost of Borrowing Increase during FY22-23:

The weighted average cost of IRFC’s borrowings for rolling stock increased to 7.51% p.a. in 2022-23 from 6.62% in the previous year, attributed to the RBI’s rate hikes. Despite this, IRFC maintains a margin over its borrowing costs for FY23, and its Net Interest Margin (NIMS) stood at 1.33% in Q1FY24.

Zero Taxation, Nil GNPA + Robust Capital Adequacy:

IRFC’s lending to the Ministry of Railways, with an exposure of 98% of its AUM, results in a credit cost of Nil. This has led to a robust capital adequacy ratio of 627.57% in Q1FY24, contributing to high credit ratings from CRISIL (AAA) and ICRA (A+). The company’s tax-free status since FY19 has added value to its earnings.

Valuation and Key Ratios:

IRFC’s stock is currently trading at 2.30x FY23 (TTM) book value of INR 36 per share, with a market value of INR 82.8. Although the return ratios (ROE/ROA) have slightly decreased to 12.69%/1.33% in Q1FY24 from 14.83%/1.59% in Q1FY23, the company’s strong AUM growth, zero GNPA, healthy capital position, and cost-plus model suggest potential for higher valuations in the upcoming quarters.

Q1FY24 Results:

In Q1FY24, IRFC reported a notable 18.69% YoY increase in revenue, primarily driven by a 25% growth in interest income and a 15% growth in lease income. However, interest expenses also increased by 29.22% YoY due to rising borrowing costs, resulting in a 5.90% YoY decline in Net Interest Income (NII) to INR 15,882 million. Net profit decreased by 6.32% YoY to INR 15,565 million, with NIMS standing at 1.33% in Q1FY24. The EPS for the quarter was INR 1.19, reflecting a 6% YoY decrease.

Conclusion:

IRFC’s diverse borrowing mix, robust AUM growth, low credit risk, and favorable tax status position it as a strong player in the financing of Indian Railways and related projects. Although recent increases in borrowing costs have affected profitability, its capital adequacy and credit ratings remain strong, suggesting potential for future growth and improved valuations.

Astral Pipes posted a net profit of Rs. 96 Cr.

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Business, Equities, Expert Views, Investor Forum, Market News, Markets, Research, Research Reports, Result Updates - August 30, 2023

Shriram Finance Business Update Q1FY24

Shriram Finance Result update Q1FY24

Overview: Shriram Finance, a key constituent of the Shriram Group conglomerate, is a prominent non-banking financial company (NBFC) in India, specializing in a wide range of credit solutions including commercial vehicle, two-wheeler, car loans, home loans, gold loans, and small business financing. The conglomerate underwent a strategic consolidation in November 2022, merging Shriram Transport Finance, Shriram City Union Finance, and Shriram Capital to form Shriram Finance. This merger solidified its position as one of the largest NBFCs in the country with an impressive Assets Under Management (AUM) of INR 1,85,683 crore.

Operational Presence :

As of June 30, 2023, Shriram Finance boasts a robust presence with an extensive network of 2,930 branches across India. The company’s workforce stands at 66,343 employees, servicing a substantial customer base of approximately 7.54 million. This extensive reach covers rural, semi-urban, and urban areas, thereby facilitating a comprehensive market outreach.

Market Penetration and Position:

Shriram Finance holds a dominant position in the market for second-hand truck financing. Despite this, the market remains under-penetrated, with around 55-60% still served by private financiers and money lenders charging high-interest rates. This presents an opportunity for formal players to incrementally enhance their market share. Shriram Finance, leveraging its domain expertise, is strategically positioned to capitalize on this potential, thus cementing its foothold in the industry.

Financial Performance:

In Q1FY24, Shriram Finance exhibited commendable financial performance. Interest income surged by 13.3% YoY (+3.5% QoQ) to INR 76,880 million. Correspondingly, interest expenses witnessed an increase of 18.1% YoY (+7.5% QoQ) amounting to INR 34,875 million. Net Interest Income (NII) exhibited a robust growth of 9.7% YoY, reaching INR 42,004 million. The Net Interest Margin (NIM) contracted by approximately 25 basis points (QoQ) to 8.3%, attributed to declining yields and an uptick in borrowing costs.

Profitability and Efficiency:

The Profit After Tax (PAT) exhibited impressive growth, surging by 25.1% YoY (+28% QoQ) to INR 16,754 million. However, it’s noteworthy that the Cost-Income ratio stood at approximately 31% (compared to the previous year’s ~27%) due to a notable 33% YoY increase in employee expenses. This reflects the company’s focus on expansion and enhancing operational capabilities.

Valuations:

As of June 30, 2023, Shriram Finance’s Price to Book Value stands at 1.60, a notable improvement from 2.2 in FY22. Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Assets (ROA) exhibited year-on-year improvements of 70 basis points and 30 basis points, reaching 15.19% and 3.08%,

Asset Quality:

A significant highlight of the quarter was the notable enhancement in asset quality. Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) and Net Non-Performing Assets (NNPA) ratios demonstrated improvement, declining to 6% and 3.1%, respectively, from 6.2% and 3.3% in the preceding quarter (Q4FY23). Additionally, the Provision Coverage Ratio (PCR) for Stage 3 loans witnessed a substantial increase of around 240 basis points (QoQ) to approximately 52%, underscoring prudent risk management practices.

Conclusion:

Shriram Finance’s merger-driven consolidation, comprehensive market outreach, dominant position in second-hand truck financing, commendable financial performance, and focused approach towards profitability and asset quality reinforce its stature as a leading player in the NBFC landscape. The company’s strategic maneuvers and operational excellence position it advantageously to harness future opportunities and navigate challenges, further bolstering its credibility and standing in the financial industry.

Astral Pipes posted a net profit of Rs. 96 Cr.

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Astral Pipes posted a net profit of Rs. 96 Cr.

Banking, Business, Editorials, Equities, Markets, Research, Research Reports, Result Updates - September 9, 2022

Tata Steel reported a net profit of Rs.7714 crores.

Tata Steel reported a PAT of Rs 7714 crore in Q4FY22, down from Rs 9,835 in Q4Y22. The company in Q1FY23 reported an EBITDA of Rs. 14973 crore, compared to an EBITDA of Rs. 15,891 crore in Q4FY22. During Q1FY22, the company recorded its EBITDA as Rs. 15,892 crore. Tata Steel announced a dividend of Rs 51 per equity share in FY22. Tata Steel’s PAT peaked in the second quarter and has fallen since then. The company’s PAT stood at Rs 12,548 crore in Q2FY22. The steel sector has been under pressure due to high input costs of coal and iron ore.

Plans to invest in India and Europe

Tata Steel plans to invest Rs 12,000 crore in India and Europe in FY23, TV Narendran, the company’s chief executive officer (CEO) and managing director (MD), said on July 18. The company expected to invest Rs 8,500 crore in India and Rs 3,500 in Europe. The major focus is on the Kalinganagar Plant in Odisha and plans to expand the plant’s capacity from 3 MTto 8 MT.
Over the last one-month, domestic hot rolled coil (HRC) prices have been range bound and hovered at 57500-9500/tonne. The domestic steel prices has seen sharp fall in coking coal prices augurs well for Indian steel players. The benefit of lower coking coal costs is likely to feed through to the cost base by September 2022 for Tata Steel Indian operations and by Q3FY22 for Tata Steel European operations. For Q1FY23, Tata Steel European operations reported EBITDA/tonne of US$360/tonne (US$89/tonne in Q1FY22 and US$241/tonne in Q4FY22).
Tata Steel plans to restart NINL’s blast furnace in the next three months and ramp up capacity to 80-100 KT/month run-rate by Mar’23. Tata Steel remains committed to its annual deleveraging target of US$1 billion in line with its capital allocation strategy to reduce debt.
Valuations:
The EPS was Rs. 6.36 in the June quarter. The stock is trading at a PE ratio of 3.32x. The EBITDA was at 2.96x. The ROCE and ROE stood at 31.6% and 42.6%, respectively. The stock was trading at Rs.106 on September 8th, down by 1.63%.

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Nippon Steel's $14B U.S. Steel Deal Raises Concerns

Business, Editorials, Equities, Markets, Research, Research Reports, Result Updates - September 9, 2022

Jindal Stainless Steel reported a PAT of Rs. 329 crores.

Jindal Stainless Steel reported a PAT of Rs. 329 crores.
JSL reported a steady operational performance for the quarter,with a consolidated PAT of Rs.329 crore. JSL’s standalone operations reported a sales volume of 235530 tonnes and a total revenue of Rs.5336 crores. The standalone operations EBITDA/tonne came in at 22216/tonne, and the consolidated top line for the quarter was at Rs. 5474 crores, up 36% YoY but down 17% QoQ. For Q1FY23, JSL reported consolidated EBITDA of Rs. 549 crore, down 9% YoY and 35% QoQ. On a consolidated basis, JSL reported an effective tax rate of 23%, compared to 33% in Q1FY23. Hence, due to a lower-than-expected effective tax rate, JSL’s consolidated PAT came in higher. JSL’s consolidated PAT for Q1FY23 was at 329 crore, up 8% YoY but down 56% QoQ.

JUSL to be acquired:
The options are being reconsidered for the blast furnace capex, which was earlier considered in JUSL. The management was clear on the cost competitiveness of the pig iron route for 400 series production along with liquid ferrochrome. However, management was aware of the potential future balance-sheet stress caused by the investment, as well as the related-party transactions and roadblocks to a potential future merger. The management wants to minimise related-party transactions and is also looking at likely options for JSL to acquire JUSL and thereby maintain the favourable tenure of term loans present in JSL’s books.
There is a huge risk from Indonesian exports in the 200/300 series in India. Even for the industries linked to approval/accreditation, depending on the extent of interest from the Indonesian players, we see a possibility of imports increasing substantially. The government has already removed the anti-dumping duty on stainless steel imports (Indonesia is an FTT partner, and does not charge any import duty on stainless steel imports). Perhaps, given the size of the market, policy support may not be as readily forthcoming for stainless steel as it is for steel.

Valuations:
The EPS was Rs. 6.11 in the June quarter versus Rs. 14.00 in March 2022 and Rs. 6.21 in June 2022. The stock is trading at a PE ratio of 3.70x. The EBITDA was at 3.22x. The ROCE and ROE stood at 37.8% and 45.1%, respectively. The stock was trading at Rs.134 on September 8th, up by 0.90%.

Nestle India reported a net profit of Rs. 515 crores:

Genus Paper And Boards reports a net profit of Rs. 4.81 crores.

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Business, Equities, Research Reports - September 6, 2022

Vodafone Idea reported lower margins-

Vodafone Idea reported lower margins

Vodafone Idea reported a consolidated loss of Rs 7,295 crore in the June quarter as against Rs 7,312 crore in June 2021. The total revenue stood at Rs 10,410 crore, a YoY growth of 13.7%. The revenue metric improvement was largely a function of residual tariff hike pass-through and one extra day during the quarter, which led to 3.2% QoQ growth. Vodafone Idea’s ARPU for the quarter improve by 23.4 percent YoY to Rs 128, aided by tariff hikes.

Restricted Competitiveness:

The subscriber base declined from 3.4 million to 240.4 million, with a churn rate of 3.5%. The 4G sub-base saw an addition of merely 0.9 million QoQ to 119 million. Data traffic/MOU increased 4%, 2% QoQ to 5.4 GB, 620 minutes, respectively. Data usage and subscriptions increased 4% year on year to 13.3 GB, but remained lower than peers, who use nearly 20 GB per month. Similarly, capex was at 840 crore vs. 1210 crore in Q4. The management reiterated its intent to raise tariffs by the end of the current calendar year, which will lead to a rise in ARPU. The net debt, at 1.982 lakh crore, was up by 1820 crore QoQ. The net debt includes deferred spectrum liability of 1.166 lakh crore, AGR liability of 67270 crore, and bank borrowing of 15200 crore. While the recent government measures ensure the survival of VIL, staying competitive will be a function of how quickly it raises funds. Substantial fundraising to meet capital spending to expand 4G network coverage, launch 5G and stay competitive Improvements in subscriber churn and 4G subscriber metrics Many key risks for the company are its inability to raise funds and expand coverage to compete.

The company has acquired mid-band 5G spectrum in 17 priority circles and mmWave 5G spectrum in 16 circles. It has also acquired an additional 4G spectrum in three circles, i.e., in Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, and Punjab, for 18799 crores, payable in 20 annual instalments of 1681 crores per annum. It did not specify any time frame for the 5G launch. The company expects cash EBITDA to improve as 5G spectrum deployment occurs. It will result in a reduction in SUC charges, while there will be some lower tower rent benefits. The Board of Directors has approved the allotment of 42.77 crore warrants to Vodafone Group on a preferential basis. This, coupled with the earlier preferential raise in Q4 of 4500 crore, takes the total fund infusion by the promoter groups to 4986 crore, largely to pay Indus Tower dues. The company recently agreed to convert interest accrued from the four-year moratorium into equity. It indicated that DoT has confirmed the NPV of Rs 16,300 crore. This equity conversion will lead to dilution with the government owning 33% in VIL and the promoters (Vodafone and Aditya Birla group) owning 50%.

Key Triggers

The outstanding debt will come down by a similar amount, with an annual interest cost savings of Rs 1200 crore from the same. The government also has the discretion to convert total deferred moratorium dues into equity at the end of four years. The guidelines for this are still awaited. VIL remains the weakest private telco. The need for capitalization is urgent, owing to the company’s impending debt repayment, lagging network spending, and continued relative market share loss. It is highlighted that recent government relief measures would ensure the survival of VIL, but the future growth outlook remains uncertain.

Valuations:

In the June quarter, the EPS was Rs. 2.27).The stock is trading at a PE ratio of 86.2x. The EBITDA was at 3.97x with an interest coverage ratio of 0.30x. The stock was trading at Rs. 9.28 on Septembe up by 3.69%.

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Business, Equities, Markets, Research Reports - September 5, 2022

Bharti Airtel had another solid quarter.

Bharti Airtel reported a 466% surge in consolidated net profit at Rs 1,607 crore for the quarter ending June 30, 2022, boosted by subscriber additions. It reported a net profit of Rs 284 crore in the year-ago period. The company’s consolidated revenue from operations rose 21% to Rs 32,805 crore in Q1FY23 as compared to Rs 27,064 crore in Q1FY22. In India, mobile services revenue increased 27% year on year to Rs 18,220 crore in the first quarter, up from Rs 14,305.6 crore. The digital TV customer base stood at 17.4 million in Q1FY2023.

Acquisition of 5G will raise the bar for innovation.

The company’s average revenue per user (ARPU) was Rs 183 in Q1FY23, against Rs 146 in Q1FY22. The ARPU of rivals Reliance Jio and Vodafone Idea for the same period was Rs 175.7 and Rs 128, respectively. The business continued to grow exponentially, up 41.9% YoY, led by healthy customer additions. The company mentioned in November that mobile ARPU needed to be at Rs 200 and ultimately at Rs 300 for a financially healthy business model.

The company continued to deliver strong and sustained growth at 4.5% QoQ. The EBITDA margins were at 50.6%. The enterprise and home businesses have strong momentum and delivered strong double-digit growth, improving the diversity of the overall portfolio. Airtel’s strategy of winning with quality customers continues to yield well.

As India gets ready to launch 5G, they are well positioned to raise the bar on innovation. They are also confident in meeting the emerging needs of discerning customers looking for speed, coverage, and latency. The astute spectrum strategy over the last few years, as they have bolstered the mid-band spectrum, is designed to deliver the best experience at the lowest total cost of ownership. The firm’s 4G customers rose by 20.8 million YOY and by 4.5 million QOQ. Mobile phone data consumption rose by 16.6% YoY. Monthly consumption per mobile data customer was 19.5 GB.

Airtel will lead India’s 5G revolution by acquiring an ideal spectrum bank at the lowest possible cost for the best 5G experience and 100x capacity enhancement; purchased 19,867.8 MHz spectrum in the recently concluded 5G spectrum auction for Rs 43,040 crore;

The company has been raising money to fund its digital ambitions, including developing home broadband, data centers, and cloud adoption as it prepares to launch its next-generation 5G services in the country.

Valuations:

The EPS in the June quarter was Rs. 2.73, compared to Rs. 3.41 in the March quarter and 0.48 in June 2021. The stock is trading at a PE ratio of 86.2x. The EBITDA was at 9.13x with an ROE and ROCE of 12.0% and 5.86%. The company has a low-interest coverage ratio of 1.75x. The stock was trading at Rs.740 on September 5^th, up by 0.63%.

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Business, Entertainment, Markets, Research Reports - September 3, 2022

Adani Ports made a net profit of Rs. 1072 crore.

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) posted a 16.09% drop in consolidated net profit at 1,072.38 crore for the quarter ended Q1FY23 compared to 1,277.99 crore in the same period last year. However, Q1 PAT climbed 4.72% from 1,024 crore in the preceding quarter. The growth was double-digit sequentially. Approximately 70% of revenues are contributed by its port operations. The remainder is led by harbour, logistics, and others, which account for 11%, 7%, and 5%, respectively.

Strong growth with inorganic acquisition

There was a higher realisation that bulk volume lifted operational performance. The revenues remained flat YoY at 4638 crore. As margins expanded, absolute EBITDA increased 13% to 3006 crores. However, PAT de-grew 19% to 1072 crore due to a forex loss of 1201 crore. The strong organic growth was coupled with the efficient incorporation of inorganic acquisitions. APSEZ, by integrating logistics operations both vertically and horizontally, has built a strong moat around the business.

As APSEZ embarks on becoming India’s largest integrated transport utility company by 2030, it is strengthening its capabilities in all logistics segments. It will offer end-to-end service to its customers, thereby capturing a higher wallet share and also making the cargo sticky in nature. DFC connectivity to Mundra (medium-term normalization) to provide faster port evacuation and transit time.

The management expects thermal and coking coal volumes to grow in FY23 in spite of comfortable thermal coal inventory levels in power plants. Construction on 4.5 million square feet of warehousing capacity has begun in Mundra, Moraiya, Ranoli, and Palwal. GPWIS cargo volumes have doubled YoY to 3.11 MMT and APSEZ has ordered more trains under the framework (total order count at 37) Gangavaram NCLT approval is expected to be completed by the current The quarter following which the numbers would be consolidated with APSEZ, beginning April 1, 2021.The management is not seeing any slowdown in any segment and expects its run rate of 30 MMT per month to continue in FY22.

During Q1, the management took a price hike, renegotiated contracts with its customers, and expects the same to flow from Q2 onwards Overall, the management has guided for a 1 to 1.5 pp incremental rise in EBITDA margins in the medium to long term. In spite of strong growth in its rail Exim volumes, the management is still keen on the Concor acquisition as it expects higher penetration and more Exim movement going forward. The management would soon come up with its strategy around last-mile logistics.

Valuations:

The company has an EPS of Rs. 5.08 for the period ended June 30, 2022 as compared to Rs. 6.40 for the period ended June 30, 2021. The ROCE and ROE stood at 11.2% and 14.7%, respectively. The stock is trading at a P/E of 37.1x and a 5-year P/E of 19.6x. The EBITDA multiple is 19.9x and has an interest coverage ratio of 3.14x. The price to book ratio is at 4.69x. The scrip was trading at Rs.850, up by 1.46% on Friday.

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Mahindra & Toyota Drive SUV Boom Amid Industry Challenges

Business, Equities, Markets, Research Reports - September 2, 2022

Eicher Motors reported a net profit of Rs.610 Cr.

Eicher Motors reported a 257.52% year-on-year (YoY) rise in consolidated net profit at Rs 610.66 crore compared with Rs 237.13 crore in the same quarter last year. The consolidated revenue from operations rose 71.18% YoY to Rs 3,325.80 crore from Rs 1,942.84 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. There are huge prospects for growth in exports. The volume contribution to the total has been increasing from 2.3% in FY17 to 13.5% in FY22 to more than 15% in Q1FY23. This is due to the increase in network and product portfolio expansion. In our opinion, the export opportunity is huge and management is serious about growing this piece of the business. We project faster export growth in the coming years.

Enormous growth potential:

Volumes will be supported by new domestic models and improved supply. The new launches like Scram 411 and Hunter 350 are clearly targeting a larger young audience. The Hunter model is likely to bring in more footfall in the showroom due to its accessible pricing and good looks. Just in time for the festival season, chip supplies are improving, network expansion is the primary focus, and newly launched models will increase volume. The trend is clear: EBITDA margin has risen from 20.2% in Q3 FY22 to 24.5% in Q1 FY23, an increase from 20.2% in Q3 FY22. They have strong pricing power in the market. We expect this uptrend to continue due to the benefits of softness in commodity prices, higher operating leverage, and better geographic and product mix. VECV is entering its best days for the next two years. The management sounded extremely optimistic about the CV industry’s high growth prospects in the coming two years. VECV is gaining market share led by network expansion, product launches, and service.

Valuations:

The company has reported an EPS of Rs.22.33 for the period ended June 30, 2022 as compared to Rs.8.67 for the period ended June 30, 2021. The ROCE and ROE stood at 18.3% and 14.0%, respectively. The stock is trading at a P/E of 45.7x, which is not expensive, and a 5-year P/E of 39.5x. The EVEBITDA multiple is 29.0x and has an interest coverage ratio of 153x. The price to book ratio is at 7.49x, which has a book value of Rs.94. The scrip was trading at Rs.3426, up by 0.41% on Friday.

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GST Storm Hits ICICI Prudential, ₹429 Crore at Stake

Business, Equities, Markets, Research Reports - September 2, 2022

CCL reported a net profit of Rs. 30 crore.

CCL Products’ total revenue from operations was at Rs 333.86 crore in June 2022, up 50.38% from Rs 222.02 crore in June 2021. The net profit was at Rs. 30.77 crore in June 2022, up 25.89% from Rs. 24.44 crore in June 2021. The EBITDA stood at Rs. 56.67 crore in June 2022, up 21.51% from Rs. 46.64 crore in June 2021. The results were driven by capacity utilization of approximately 85% in its Indian and Vietnam units. CCLP posted volume growth of some 25% in the first quarter of the current fiscal, thus helping the company post 56.2% growth in revenues to Rs 509.28 crs when compared to Rs 326.12 crs in the same quarter a year ago.

The company’s fundamentals are strong:

The coffee was sourced from some of the small players, which has barely helped diminished volume growth in the last couple of quarters. The record product realizations, OPMs, have all but fallen to 17.4%, not least due to little variation in their pricing model. Therefore, operating profits rose by a much diminished 23% to Rs 88.54 crs as against Rs 71.98 crs in the same quarter a year ago. Needless to say, margins have gotten a leg up from the growing capacity utilization of its small pack facility, whose throughput surged past 50% in the last quarter. The depreciation costs were up 25.5%, PBT rose by a little over 24%, and post-tax earnings advanced by 20.3% to Rs 52.74 crores as against Rs 43.84 crores in the year ago period. entthralled by higher coffee demand, which was reflected in the order book. CCLP has drawn up plans to increase its spray dried capacity by 16,500 tons at a cost of $30 million, largely funded by debt. Ngon Coffee’s previously increased capacity of 3500 tons operated at high utilization last fiscal.

The increased value addition and penetration in the overseas market hold the key to supporting CCLP’s volume growth over the next few years. Though increased utilization in Vietnam and India helped in the revival of revenue growth in the last few quarters, the introduction of value-added products and the identification of potential markets are essential for market share gains globally. Buttressed by higher volumes at the new Vietnam facility, post-tax earnings are projected to grow by some 29% next fiscal.

Valuations:

The company has reported an EPS of Rs.3.96 for the period ended June 30, 2022 as compared to Rs.3.30 for the period ended June 30, 2021. The ROCE and ROE stood at 15.6% and 17.5%, respectively. The stock is trading at a P/E of 30x, which is not expensive, and a 5-year P/E of 24.5x. The EBITDA multiple is 19.8x and has an interest coverage ratio of 17.4x. The price to book ratio is at 5.10x, which has a book value of Rs.94. The scrip was trading at Rs.479, down by 0.14% on Thursday.

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