Business, Editorials, Real Estate, Research, Research Reports - July 18, 2025

Arkade Developers: High-Margin, Debt-Free Growth in Mumbai Realty

Arkade Developers: High-Margin, Debt-Free Growth in Mumbai Realty

Arkade Developers Ltd. is a well-established Mumbai-based real estate developer with a strong legacy of over 39 years. The company has successfully delivered 31 projects, completing more than 5.5 million sq. ft. of development and housing over 5,500 families. Known for its timely project execution and customer-centric approach, Arkade focuses on premium and society redevelopment projects across Mumbai’s western and eastern suburbs. As of March 31, 2025, the promoter and promoter group, led by Mr. Amit Mangilal Jain, hold a 71.09% stake in the company. It is listed on both NSE (Symbol: ARKADE) and BSE (Code: 544261). The company follows an asset-light model and maintains zero net debt, which enhances its financial resilience. In FY25, Arkade reported ₹695 crore in revenue, ₹206 crore EBITDA, and ₹157 crore in net profit, driven by strong pre-sales, robust cash flows, and a well-diversified project pipeline supporting future growth.

Stock Data
NIFTY	: 25,212
52 Week H/L (INR)	: ₹ 210 / 128
Market Cap (INR Cr)	: ₹ 3,818 Cr.
Book Value	: ₹ 47.6
Outstanding Shares (Cr.)	: 18.6
NSE Code	: ARKADE
BSE Code	: 544261
CMP	: ₹ 206

Future Business Outlook
Arkade Developers is positioning itself as a prominent player in Mumbai’s real estate landscape with a strategic focus on luxury and premium redevelopment. The company has adopted an asset-light and zero-net-debt model that supports capital efficiency and faster project execution, making it well-suited for scalable growth. Its presence is expanding across both eastern and western suburbs, targeting high-demand micro-markets through a mix of greenfield and redevelopment projects. Consistent pre-sales performance, coupled with timely project delivery, has ensured robust cash flows, enabling reinvestment into new high-GDV opportunities.
Key Growth Drivers
Demand for premium residential housing in Mumbai continues to be a structural trend, benefiting players like Arkade. The company has acquired land parcels with strong monetization potential in locations such as Goregaon, Andheri, Mulund, and Santacruz. Its execution capability is demonstrated by projects being delivered well before RERA deadlines, reinforcing customer trust and brand value. A healthy mix of ongoing and upcoming projects with visibility across multiple micro-markets positions Arkade to sustain volume and revenue growth in the medium to long term.
Project Pipeline
Arkade currently has 9 ongoing projects (~2 Mn sq. ft.) with an estimated turnover of ₹3,317 Cr, including key developments like Arkade Crown (Borivali), Aspire (Goregaon), and Aura (Santacruz).
The company also has 10 upcoming projects (~2.22 Mn sq. ft.) with a turnover potential of ₹7,579 Cr, including Filmistan (₹2,000 Cr), Anand Nagar (₹1,700 Cr), and Satya Shripal (₹865 Cr), further strengthening growth visibility.
Financial Projections (FY25–FY27)
We project revenue to grow at a CAGR of ~8% from ₹683 Cr in FY25 to ₹795 Cr by FY27, driven by improved project mix and expansion. Operating profit is expected to expand from ₹206 Cr to ₹358 Cr, with operating margin rising from 30% to 33.7%, supported by cost controls and scale benefits. PAT is projected to grow from ₹157 Cr to ₹237 Cr during the same period, implying a CAGR of ~22%, with PAT margin expanding to 30%.
Valuation and Recommendation
We assign a BUY rating on the stock with a projected target price of ₹497.73, based on 39x FY27E EPS of ₹12.76. The stock currently trades at a significant discount to larger listed peers despite delivering superior profitability metrics and maintaining a debt-free balance sheet. Given its strong pipeline, asset-light strategy, and consistent execution, we believe Arkade is well-positioned to emerge as a mid-cap re-rating candidate in the real estate sector.

Absolute Returns (%)
3 Months	: 22.3%
6 Months	: 27.1 %

VALUATION OUTLOOK

Undervalued vs Peers:
Arkade trades at EV/EBITDA of 17.4x and P/E of 24.3x, both below the peer average of 45.6x EV/EBITDA and 82.7x P/E, indicating strong rerating potential. Discounted EV/Sales Multiple:
Arkade’s EV/Sales of 5.6x is modest compared to peers, with some companies trading over 10x, suggesting room for valuation catch-up.

Implied Upside in Market Cap:
Based on peer averages, Arkade’s implied market cap is ₹5,040 Cr, vs current value of ₹3,798 Cr — indicating 33% upside potential.

Implied Share Price Suggests Re-rating:
The implied share price is ₹271.4, compared to the current ₹205.56, suggesting the stock is undervalued at present levels.

Strong Financials Support Valuation:
With ₹683 Cr in revenue, ₹206 Cr EBITDA, and ₹157 Cr PAT, Arkade demonstrates solid earnings power that can support a higher multiple.

Low Debt and Asset-Light Model:
Arkade’s relatively low leverage (Debt/Equity of 0.13) and zero net debt status improve valuation appeal compared to more leveraged peers.

Metric	FY24 Cr.	FY25 Cr.	YoY Growth (%)
Revenue from Operations	636	695	9.27%
Gross Profit	206	264	28.2%
Gross Profit Margin	32.40%	38.6%	+620 bps
EBITDA	167	206	23.4%
EBITDA Margin	26.3%	29.6%	+330 bps
Profit Before Tax (PBT)	211.4	266.8	26.18%
Profit After Tax (PAT)	123	157	27.6%
PAT Margin	19.3%	22.9%
ROCE%	45%	31%
ROE	38.08%	17.76%
Debt to Equity	0.22	0.13

1. Business Model & Key Differentiators

Arkade Developers Ltd. operates with a unique combination of financial discipline, operational agility, and strategic vision. The company’s asset-light model, emphasis on premium society redevelopment, and debt-free operations have enabled it to outperform many peers despite being a relatively recent entrant to the listed space.

1. Asset-Light Strategy & Zero Net Debt

Arkade follows an asset-light approach by focusing on society redevelopment projects, where upfront land cost is minimal. This enhances return on capital and keeps the balance sheet flexible.

Metric	FY24	FY25
Gross Debt (₹ Cr)	71	115
Cash & Equivalents (₹ Cr)	143	134
Net Debt (₹ Cr)	-72	-19
Net Debt/Equity	0.00	0.13
Model Type	Redevelopment-focused	Redevelopment + Greenfield

Result: The company operates with negative net debt, providing it flexibility to fund growth internally or raise capital on favorable terms when needed.

2. In-House Project Management = Faster Turnaround

Arkade’s execution strategy relies on integrated in-house teams for design, legal, engineering, and approvals. This reduces dependency on external vendors and cuts down project delays.

Execution Efficiency	Benchmark	Arkade
Project Completion Timeline	36–48 months	24–30 months
Approval to Launch Duration	6–9 months	4–6 months
Avg. Cost Overrun	Industry: ~10%	<5%

Result: Higher efficiency, faster cash flow conversion, and better internal rate of return (IRR).

3. Early RERA Completion Record

Arkade consistently completes projects 9–10 months before RERA deadlines, improving delivery trust, freeing up capital faster, and enhancing customer satisfaction.

Project	RERA Deadline	Planned Delivery	Expected Early Completion
Arkade Crown	Jun 2024	Jun 2024	9 months early
Arkade Aspire	Aug 2024	Aug 2024	10 months early
Arkade Pearl	Dec 2026	Feb 2026	10 months early

Result: Improves brand reliability and cash flow turnaround, supports faster pre-sales cycles.

4. High-IRR Development Model

Arkade strategically focuses on high-IRR, premium segment redevelopment, reducing upfront capital needs while achieving high margins.

IRR Benchmarks	Industry Avg.	Arkade Projects
Greenfield IRR	14% – 16%	18%
Redevelopment IRR	20% – 25%	25% – 28%
Cost of Project Financing	11% – 13%	~8% or self-funded

Result: Maximizes return per rupee invested and enhances EPS over time.

5. Strong CSR & ESG Integration

Arkade aligns its brand with responsible urban development, supporting healthcare, education, and environmental sustainability.

Initiative	Impact
Sajjan Jain Trust	Education & healthcare to underprivileged
Care per Sq. Ft. (Tata Hospital)	Cancer treatment donations for every sq. ft. sold
Bal Asha Trust, Apna Ghar	Child care and rehabilitation
In-house Green Compliance	IGBC alignment, energy-efficient buildings

Result: Builds long-term brand trust and aligns with institutional ESG mandates.

2. Detailed Analysis: Ongoing Projects of Arkade Developers Ltd.

Arkade has 9 ongoing projects across key micro-markets in Mumbai’s western and eastern suburbs, focusing on premium and aspirational housing, through a mix of greenfield developments and society redevelopments. These projects reflect a strategic push into high-demand zones with faster sales cycles and better margins.

Project Name	Location	Category	Development Type	Plot Size (Sq. M)	Saleable Area (Sq. Ft.)	Completion (RERA)	Projected Turnover (₹ Cr)
Arkade Crown	Borivali (W)	Aspirational	Society Redevelopment	5,711	113,805	Jun’24 **	₹325 Cr
Arkade Aspire	Goregaon (E)	Aspirational	Greenfield	5,933	168,643	Aug’24 **	₹490 Cr
Arkade Aura	Santacruz (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	3,791	59,279	Dec’24 **	₹276 Cr
Arkade Prime	Andheri (E)	Aspirational	Greenfield	2,091	65,566	Jan’25 **	₹165 Cr
Arkade Nest	Mulund (W)	Aspirational	Greenfield	8,327	249,163	Jun’27	₹619 Cr
Arkade Pearl	Vile Parle (E)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	4,153	75,145	Dec’26	₹300 Cr
Arkade Eden	Malad (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	3,101	49,981	Dec’26	₹150 Cr
Arkade Views/Vistas	Goregaon (E)	Aspirational	Society Redevelopment	4,487	81,960	Dec’27	₹242 Cr
Arkade Rare	Bhandup (W)	Aspirational	Greenfield	11,967	313,070	Dec’28	₹750 Cr

Strategic Importance

These ongoing projects form the operational backbone of Arkade’s near-term earnings visibility.
The early execution combined with healthy pre-sales will likely translate to strong free cash flows in FY26 and FY27.
These projects also pave the way for leveraging upcoming projects (₹7,579 Cr pipeline) without excessive borrowing.

3. Detailed Analysis: Upcoming Projects of Arkade Developers

Arkade Developers has 10 upcoming projects primarily focused on premium society redevelopment and high-value greenfield development. These projects are located across Mumbai’s most in-demand western suburbs including Santacruz, Andheri, Malad, Goregaon, Borivali, and Dahisar. The combined saleable area exceeds 2.22 million sq. ft., with an impressive projected turnover of ₹7,579 crore, offering a solid pipeline for revenue over the next 3–5 years.

Project Name	Location	Category	Development Type	Plot Size (Sq. M)	Saleable Area (Sq. Ft.)	Projected Turnover (₹ Cr)
Nutan Ayojan	Malad (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	6,860	2,33,000	₹740 Cr
Laxmi Ramana	Goregaon (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	4,619	59,793	₹213 Cr
Maheshwari Niwas	Santacruz (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	2,290	38,700	₹200 Cr
Apna Ghar	Andheri (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	7,381	83,212	₹388 Cr
Bussa CHS	Santacruz (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	2,902	45,000	₹190 Cr
Rani Sati	Malad (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	6,337	2,11,940	₹757 Cr
Satya Shripal	Borivali (W)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	7,084	2,44,000	₹865 Cr
Jumbo Darshan	Andheri (E)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	6,811	1,29,300	₹526 Cr
Filmistan	Goregaon (W)	Premium	Greenfield Development	16,200	5,00,000	₹2,000 Cr
Anand Nagar	Dahisar (E)	Premium	Society Redevelopment	26,286	6,76,000	₹1,700 Cr

4. Quarterly Performance (Q4 FY25)

Metric	Q4 FY24	Q4 FY25	YoY Growth (%)
Revenue from Operations	₹123.0	₹134.0	+8.9%
Gross Profit	₹41	₹60	+46.30%
EBITDA	₹27	₹45.0	+66.7%
EBITDA Margin (%)	22.00%	33.6%
Net Profit (PAT)	₹20	₹33.0	+65%
PAT Margin (%)	16.30%	24.6%
Pre-Sales Value	₹196.0	₹217.0	+10.71%
Collections	₹176.0	₹238.0	+35.23%
Carpet Area Sold (sq. ft. in ’000)	64	70	+9.38%

Q4 FY25 Performance Summary (YoY Comparison)

Revenue from Operations rose 8.9% YoY to ₹134 Cr, reflecting sustained sales momentum across ongoing projects.
Gross Profit increased by 46.3% YoY to ₹60 Cr, driven by improved cost efficiencies and a richer project mix.
EBITDA witnessed robust growth of 66.7% YoY, reaching ₹45 Cr, underscoring strong operational leverage.
EBITDA Margin expanded sharply by 1,160 bps, improving from 22.0% to 33.6%, indicating enhanced project-level profitability.
Net Profit (PAT) grew 65% YoY to ₹33 Cr, with PAT margin improving from 16.3% to 24.6%, aided by higher margins and stable overheads.
Pre-sales Value stood at ₹217 Cr, up 10.71% YoY, backed by healthy booking traction.
Collections rose significantly by 35.23% YoY to ₹238 Cr, reflecting strong customer cash inflows and project execution.
Carpet Area Sold increased 9.38% YoY to 70,000 sq. ft., indicating continued demand and sales conversion strength.

5. Financial Highlights (P&L Statement)

Particulars	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	YoY Growth (Mar-24 to Mar-25)
Revenue (₹ Cr)	106	225	220	635	683	7.56%
Expenses (₹ Cr)	80	170	160	467	477	2.14%
Operating Profit	26	54	60	168	206	22.61%
OPM %	24%	24%	27%	26%	30%
Other Income	5	15	8	2	12
Interest (₹ Cr)	1	4	1	3	2	-33.33%
Depreciation (₹ Cr)	0	0	0	1	5
Profit Before Tax	29	66	67	165	211	27.88%
Tax %	25%	22%	24%	26%	26%
Net Profit (₹ Cr)	22	51	51	123	157	27.64%

Key Financial Highlights – FY25 (YoY Comparison)

Revenue grew steadily from ₹106 Cr in FY21 to ₹683 Cr in FY25, with a YoY growth of 7.56%, reflecting consistent business expansion.
Operating Expenses remained tightly managed, increasing by just 2.14% YoY in FY25, despite a higher scale of project execution.
Operating Profit rose by 22.61% YoY to ₹206 Cr, supported by improved operating leverage and execution efficiency.
Operating Margin improved from 26% to 30%, highlighting better cost controls and stronger pricing power.
Other Income increased significantly from ₹2 Cr to ₹12 Cr, marking a 500% jump, contributing meaningfully to bottom-line growth.
Interest Expense declined by 33.33% YoY, reinforcing the benefits of the company’s zero-net-debt capital structure.
Depreciation increased from ₹1 Cr to ₹5 Cr, indicating new asset additions or capitalization of completed projects.
Profit Before Tax (PBT) stood at ₹211 Cr, up 27.88% YoY, showcasing strong operational profitability.
Net Profit (PAT) grew by 27.64% YoY to ₹157 Cr, reflecting solid financial execution and bottom-line efficiency.
Tax Rate remained stable at 26%, in line with prior periods.

6. Financial Highlights
Balance Sheet Statement

Particulars	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	YoY Growth (Mar-24 to Mar-25)
Equity Capital (₹ Cr)	2	2	2	152	186	22.37%
Reserves (₹ Cr)	97	148	198	171	698	308.77%
Borrowings (₹ Cr)	14	64	149	71	115	61.97%
Other Liabilities (₹ Cr)	237	156	206	180	252	40.00%
Total Liabilities (₹ Cr)	350	370	555	575	1,251	117.57%
Fixed Assets (₹ Cr)	0	2	2	14	19	35.71%
CWIP (₹ Cr)	0	0	0	0	0	No Change
Investments (₹ Cr)	114	40	17	18	138	666.67%
Other Assets (₹ Cr)	236	329	536	543	1,093	101.22%
Total Assets (₹ Cr)	350	370	555	575	1,251	117.57%

Key Balance Sheet Highlights – FY25

Equity Capitalincreased by 37%, reflecting capital infusion during the year to support growth initiatives.
Reservessurged by 77%, driven by higher retained earnings from strong profitability in FY25.
Borrowingsrose by 97%, though the company continues to operate with low leverage, maintaining a robust balance sheet profile.
Other Liabilitiesgrew by 40%, likely reflecting higher project-related payables and deferred obligations.
Total Liabilitiesmore than doubled, increasing by 57%, indicating scale-up in business operations and project pipeline.
Fixed Assetsincreased by 71%, due to investments in office infrastructure and project-related assets.
Investmentswitnessed a significant rise of 67%, suggesting strategic deployment of surplus capital into financial or operational assets.
Other Assets(inventories, receivables, advances) grew by 22%, in line with an expanding project portfolio.
Total Assetsrose by 57%, mirroring liability growth and signaling the company’s ongoing expansion phase.
Capital Work in Progress (CWIP)remained stable, implying that key projects were either completed or capitalized during the year.

7. Financial Highlights (Cash Flow Summary)

Particulars	Mar-21	Mar-22	Mar-23	Mar-24	Mar-25
Cash from Operating Activity +	144	-125	-99	102	-218
Cash from Investing Activity +	-98	76	29	-12	-229
Cash from Financing Activity +	-49	46	84	-83	445
Net Cash Flow	-3	-2	14	7	-1

Key Cash Flow Highlights (FY21–FY25)

FY21:
Generated a strong operating cash inflow of ₹144 Cr, driven by robust core business performance.
High investing outflow of ₹98 Cr suggests capital allocation toward project development or asset purchases.
Net cash flow stood at ₹-3 Cr, reflecting near cash-neutral operations despite significant investments.
FY22:
Reported negative operating cash flow of ₹-125 Cr, likely due to inventory buildup or working capital blockage.
Investing inflow of ₹76 Cr may have resulted from asset divestment or reduced capex.
Net cash flow of ₹-2 Cr, indicating minor cash burn.
FY23:
Operating cash flow remained negative at ₹-99 Cr, as project investments continued.
Moderate investing inflow of ₹29 Cr combined with positive financing inflow of ₹84 Cr, reflecting successful fundraising.
Net cash flow turned positive at ₹+14 Cr, marking a temporary recovery.
FY24:
Achieved a strong operating inflow of ₹102 Cr, supported by improved collections and profitability.
Financing outflow of ₹83 Cr suggests debt repayment or dividend distribution.
Net cash flow of ₹+7 Cr indicates growing financial stability.
FY25:
Experienced a significant operating outflow of ₹-218 Cr, likely due to aggressive project execution or advance payments.
Investing outflow of ₹229 Cr reflects substantial capital deployment into land or redevelopment rights.
Financing inflow of ₹445 Cr points to major fundraising activity through equity or debt.
Despite large cash movements, net cash flow stood at ₹-1 Cr, showcasing prudent capital management and balance sheet resilience.

8. Ratio Analysis

Leverage Ratios	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025
Debt/Equity	0.14	0.43	0.74	0	0.13
Debt/Assets	0.04	0.17	0.27	0	0
Debt/EBITDA	0.54	1.19	2.48	0	1
Efficiency Ratios
Receivable Days	44	9	6	5	19
Receivable Turnover	8.3	40.56	60.83	73	19.21
Profitability Ratios
EBITDA	26	54	60	168	206
EBITDA Margin	24%	24%	27%	26%	30%
Gross Profit	98.58	319.5	422.4	622.3	266.37
EBIT	0	0	0	169	213
EBIT Margin	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	27.00%	31.00%
Net Profit Margin	20.75%	22.67%	23.18%	19.37%	22.99%
EPS	105.95	252.35	253.9	8.08	8.45
Capital Allocation Ratios
ROCE		41%	24%	45%	31%
EBIT Margin	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	27.00%	31.00%
Sales/Cap Employed	94%	105%	63%	161%	68%
NOPAT	0	0	0	125.06	157.62
Capital Employed	101	204	331	369	865
Valuation Ratios
Price/Earnings	–	–	–	–	17.88
Price/Book	–	–	–	–	3.18
EV/EBITDA	–	–	–	–	13.63

Key Ratio Analysis – FY25

1. Leverage Ratios

o Debt-to-Equity dropped from 0.74 in FY23 to 0.13 in FY25, reflecting the company’s transition to a zero net-debt position in FY24, significantly strengthening the balance sheet.

o Debt/EBITDA improved to 1.0x, indicating comfortable leverage relative to earnings.

2. Efficiency Ratios

o Receivable Days increased to 19 (vs. 5 in FY24), suggesting a mild delay in collections cycle.

o Receivable Turnover decreased to 19.2x, though still reflects healthy receivables management.

3. Profitability Ratios

o EBITDA Margin expanded to 30%, supported by better project margins and cost efficiencies.

o Net Profit Margin stood at 22.99%, underlining strong bottom-line performance.

o EPS remained steady at ₹8.45, despite equity dilution following the public listing.

4. Capital Allocation Metrics

o ROCE moderated to 31% (vs. 45% in FY24), due to a higher capital base post fundraising.

o Sales/Capital Employed at 68% reflects efficient use of capital in driving topline growth.

o NOPAT rose to ₹157.6 Cr, in line with higher operating profits and tax-adjusted performance.

5. Valuation Ratios

o P/E Ratio stood at 17.88x, and EV/EBITDA at 13.63x, indicating potential undervaluation compared to peers.

o P/B Ratio at 3.18x remains reasonable, supported by robust ROE and strong growth visibility.

9. Financial Projections

Particulars	FY2025 (Actual)	FY2026 (Projected)	YoY Growth % (25-26)	FY2027 (Projected)	YoY Growth % (26-27)
Revenue (₹ Cr)	683	750	9.81%	795	6.00%
Expenses (₹ Cr)	477	482	1.05%	437	-9.40%
Operating Profit (₹ Cr)	206	268	30.10%	358
Operating Margin (%)	30%	30%		33.70%
Other Income (₹ Cr)	12	10	-16.70%	10
Interest (₹ Cr)	2	2		2
Depreciation (₹ Cr)	5	6	20%	7	16.70%
Profit Before Tax (₹ Cr)	211	242	14.70%	321	32.60%
Tax Rate (%)	26%	26%		26%
Net Profit (₹ Cr)	157	179	14.00%	237	32.40%
PAT Margin (%)	22.99%	23.87%		30%
P/E Ratio (assumed)	24.3	39		39
Outstanding Shares (Cr)	18.57	18.57		18.57
EPS	8.45	9.63		12.76
Share Price (Projected)	205.45			497.73

Summary of Financial Projections (FY2026–FY2027)

· Revenue is projected to grow from ₹683 Cr in FY2025 to ₹750 Cr in FY2026 (+9.81% YoY) and further to ₹795 Cr in FY2027 (+6.00% YoY), indicating a stable and upward revenue trajectory.

· Expenses are expected to increase marginally by 1.05% in FY2026, followed by a 9.40% decline in FY2027, highlighting improved cost controls and operational efficiency.

· Operating Profit is projected to increase sharply by 30.10% in FY2026 to ₹268 Cr, and further by 33.58% in FY2027 to ₹358 Cr, reflecting robust earnings growth and margin expansion.

· Operating Margin is expected to remain stable at 30% in FY2026, before expanding to 33.70% in FY2027, supported by operating leverage and efficiency gains.

· Profit Before Tax (PBT) is forecasted to grow from ₹211 Cr in FY2025 to ₹242 Cr in FY2026 (+14.70%), and further to ₹321 Cr in FY2027 (+32.60%).

· Net Profit (PAT) is expected to rise from ₹157 Cr to ₹179 Cr in FY2026 (+14.00%), and then to ₹237 Cr in FY2027 (+32.40%), driven by strong operational performance and margin improvement.

· PAT Margin is projected to improve from 22.99% in FY2025 to 23.87% in FY2026, and further to 30% in FY2027, highlighting enhanced bottom-line efficiency.

· Earnings Per Share (EPS) is forecasted to grow from ₹8.45 in FY2025 to ₹9.63 in FY2026 and ₹12.76 in FY2027, reflecting improved earnings and shareholder returns.

· Share Price is projected to increase significantly from ₹205.45 to ₹497.73 by FY2027, based on a forward P/E multiple of 39x, implying substantial upside potential for investors.

10. Valuation Analysis

Strategic Interpretations & Investment Rationale

1. Undervalued Across Key Multiples

o Arkade Developers is trading at 5.6x EV/Sales, 17.4x EV/EBITDA, and 24.3x P/E, significantly below peer group averages of 8.6x, 45.6x, and 82.7x, respectively.

o This positions the company as a classic undervalued mid-cap play in the real estate sector, offering substantial rerating potential.

2. Implied Valuation Indicates 30%+ Upside

o Based on Arkade’s current fundamentals, the implied share price stands at ₹271.41 versus the current market price of ₹205.56, reflecting a 32% valuation gap.

o This provides a strong near-to-medium-term upside opportunity for investors.

3. Strong Earnings Yet to Reflect in Valuation

o Despite reporting ₹683 Cr in revenue and ₹157 Cr in PAT in FY25, the market has not factored in the earnings momentum.

o This valuation disconnect creates a compelling entry point before broader price discovery takes place.

4. Debt-Free Balance Sheet Enhances Investment Comfort

o Arkade operates with zero net debt (₹-19.42 Cr), a rare trait in the sector, offering a robust margin of safety.

o This balance sheet strength justifies a valuation premium, though the stock currently trades at a discount.

5. Institutional Discovery as a Key Rerating Catalyst

o Upcoming project deliveries such as Filmistan and Santacruz, along with increased institutional coverage, are expected to serve as strong rerating triggers.

o These milestones could significantly narrow the valuation gap.

6. Exceptional ROCE & Execution History Merit Premium

o With a ROCE range of 31% to 45%, Arkade stands out for its capital efficiency.

o Its consistent record of on-time project completion supports a case for higher valuation multiples, in line with peers such as Marathon or Ajmera Realty.

7. Disciplined Capital Allocation Drives Sustainable Growth

o The company follows a high-IRR redevelopment strategy, ensuring efficient capital deployment.

With controlled operational leverage and focused expansion, Arkade is well-positioned for sustainable earnings growth

11. Why the Stock is Undervalued

Despite its strong operational momentum and a robust development pipeline, Arkade Developers Ltd. remains materially undervalued relative to peers in the real estate sector. The following factors contribute to the current market mispricing:

1.Recent Listing with Limited Institutional Coverage

Arkade was listed in October 2023, making it a recent entrant in the public markets. Due to this short listing history, the stock lacks adequate institutional coverageand analyst attention, resulting in low visibility among large-cap and mutual fund investors. This has led to valuation multiples remaining suppressed despite strong business fundamentals.

2.Mid-Cap Real Estate Yet to Fully Re-rate

While large-cap names such as DLFand Godrej Propertieshave already benefited from premium valuations and broad institutional participation, the mid-cap segment is still in the early stages of discovery. Arkade, with its lean balance sheet, consistent execution, and scalable redevelopment model, is well-positioned to benefit as institutional capital begins to flow into undervalued, fundamentally sound mid-cap players.

3. High-Impact Rerating Triggers Ahead

The company’s upcoming pipeline includes high-value redevelopment projectssuch as Filmistan (₹1,400 Cr revenue potential), Santacruz, and Andheri, which are expected to launch over the next 12–18 months. These are anticipated to act as inflection points, driving higher pre-sales, improved operating leverage, and institutional recognition — all of which can trigger multiple expansionand rerating of the stock.

4.Strong Financials Yet to be Valued Appropriately

In FY25, Arkade reported ₹683 Cr in revenueand ₹157 Cr in PAT, outpacing many older peers on a profitability basis. However, its current valuation — 24.3x P/E and 17.4x EV/EBITDA— remains well below sector averages of 82.7x P/E and 45.6x EV/EBITDA. This suggests the stock’s earnings power is not yet fully reflected in its market price.

Conclusion
Arkade’s current valuation does not align with its high return metrics, debt-free status, and strong visibility on future cash flows. As institutional investors begin to recognize the company’s execution track record and scalable business model, the stock is well-positioned for material re-rating. This creates an attractive early-mover opportunity for value-conscious investors seeking long-term compounding in the mid-cap real estate space.

12. What Investors Stand to Gain

Arkade Developers Ltd. presents a high-conviction investment case for investors seeking a blend of value, visibility, and velocity. With robust fundamentals, margin visibility, and an efficient capital deployment model, the company offers a differentiated opportunity in the premium Mumbai redevelopment space. Key benefits for investors include:

1. Valuation Rerating Potential

Arkade is currently trading at a deep discount to sector peersacross valuation metrics like P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EV/Sales. As the market begins to price in its profitability, growth pipeline, and brand strength, investors could benefit from multiple expansion. A 30–35% implied upsideexists from current levels, driven by both earnings’ growth and valuation normalization — a classic early-mover arbitrage opportunity.

2. Sustained High Margins

The company operates on a low-cost, high-margin modeldue to its focus on society redevelopment, which involves negligible land acquisition costs. This strategy supports industry-leading EBITDA margins of 28–30%, well above the sector average. As new projects like Filmistan, Santacruz, and Andheriprogress, these margins are expected to remain strong or improve, offering better operating leverage and earnings visibility.

3. Strong Risk-Adjusted Returns

Arkade follows an asset-light development modeland maintains a net-debt-free balance sheet, significantly reducing financial risk. Additionally, its projects are backed by in-house execution capabilitiesand a consistent track record of early RERA completions, mitigating project delivery risk — a key concern in the real estate sector.

4. Superior Capital Efficiency

The company’s fast project turnaround, early monetization, and efficient working capital cycle enable superior Internal Rate of Return (IRR)on capital employed. Flagship projects such as Filmistanare expected to deliver 25%+ IRRs, supporting high RoE and long-term wealth creation for shareholders.

Bottom Line

Arkade Developers offers a rare combination of premium real estate exposure, capital safety, and valuation upside. With strong earnings momentum, scalable operations, and upcoming project launches acting as catalysts, the company is well-positioned for multi-year compounding. For investors willing to enter ahead of broad institutional discovery, this represents a compelling opportunity to participate in a high-growth, low-risk real estate play.

13. What Investors May Miss If They Ignore Arkade

As the Indian real estate sector continues to see renewed investor interest, overlooking Arkade Developers Ltd. could result in missing one of the most compelling mid-cap re-rating opportunities in the space. Despite superior execution, clean balance sheet, and scalable growth visibility, the stock remains under-discovered — a scenario unlikely to persist. Here’s what’s at risk:

1.Missed Opportunity for 100%+ Returns in 2–3 Years

Arkade is trading at a steep valuation discountrelative to peers, despite industry-beating marginsand a robust pipeline. As key projects like Filmistan and Santacruz monetize and earnings scale up, the stock has the potential to double over the next 24–36 months. Delaying entry now may mean missing the full re-rating cycle.

2.Ignoring a Rare Debt-Free, High-Margin Developer

In a sector known for financial leverage and execution delays, Arkade’s zero-net-debt profile, strong cash flow discipline, and in-house execution capabilities are exceptional. Investors seeking risk-adjusted alphawould be overlooking a rare opportunity to own a safe compounderin an otherwise volatile space.

3.Suboptimal Capital Allocation vs Overvalued Peers

Capital parked in stretched valuations — such as Sunteck Realty (P/E ~43x)or Marathon Nextgen (EV/EBITDA ~29.5x)— may underperform relative to Arkade, which trades at just P/E ~24.3x and EV/EBITDA ~17.4x. The valuation gap offers a margin of safety along with stronger earnings visibility.

4.Missing the Early Stages of a Future Market Leader

Arkade is positioning itself as a leading player in Mumbai’s society redevelopment— a structurally growing niche with limited organized players. Early-stage entry offers investors a front-row seat to a multi-year compounding story, ahead of broader institutional participation.

Bottom Line

Arkade Developers represents a unique convergence of value, visibility, and velocity. Ignoring this opport unity may result in missing a rare, clean, high-margin, high-growth real estate company — available today at deep-value valuations. The current market inefficiency around Arkade is temporary; when recognition arrives, so will rapid price discovery — and those late to enter may find the outsized returns already priced in.

14. Investment Thesis: Arkade Developers Ltd. — A Rare Mid-Cap Compounder in Premium Real Estate

Arkade Developers Ltd. presents a compelling blend of growth, financial discipline, and value in India’s high-potential urban redevelopment segment. With strong fundamentals and a focused strategy, it stands out as a high-conviction BUY for long-term investors seeking asymmetric returns with limited downside risk.

1. High Growth with Financial Safety

Consistent topline and bottom-line growth, supported by EBITDA margins of 28–30%.

Operates with a net debt-free balance sheet, ensuring financial stability.
Adopts an asset-light, society redevelopment model, enabling high ROCE with minimal capital intensity.

2. Premium Market Exposure at Mid-Cap Valuations

Focused on premium Mumbai micro-markets like Andheri, Goregaon, and Santacruz.
Yet trades at only 3x P/E and 17.4x EV/EBITDA, significantly lower than listed peers.
With an implied fair value of ₹271, the stock offers 30%+ near-term upside.
Based on FY27 estimates and a conservative 39x P/E, the target price projects to ₹497.73, representing 100%+ upside

3. Proven Execution & Operational Strength

Delivered 31 projects over 39 years, with early RERA completions averaging 9–10 months ahead of schedule.
In-house execution, legal, and compliance teams ensure faster turnaround and project control.

4. Clean Financials and Robust Pipeline

FY25 performance: Revenue ₹683 Cr, PAT ₹157 Cr, ROCE 31%, and zero net debt.
Project pipeline of ₹10,800+ Crfrom ongoing and upcoming projects ensures sustained growth over 3–5 years.

5. Promoter Integrity & Institutional Governance

Led by Amit Jain, a visionary second-generation entrepreneur.
Practices zero promoter pledging, transparent disclosures, and community-driven CSR, reinforcing investor trust.
Governance practices are institution-ready, paving the way for broader institutional coverage and participation.

Conclusion: A Mispriced Premium Real Estate Opportunity

Arkade Developers Ltd. is currently underfollowed and undervalued, despite possessing the hallmarks of a long-term compounder: high margins, clean financials, and a scalable, risk-mitigated business model. With a clear growth runway, favorable market positioning, and robust internal execution, the stock is well-positioned to unlock significant value as market recognition improves. For discerning investors, this represents a rare opportunity to enter early into a multi-year re-rating story in India’s most lucrative real estate market.

15. Conclusion

Arkade Developers Ltd. stands out as a high-conviction investment opportunity within India’s mid-cap real estate space, offering a unique convergence of growth, scalability, and financial resilience. With a proven track record, strong fundamentals, and forward-looking strategy, the company is well-positioned to create long-term value for both institutional and high-net-worth investors.

With a legacy of 39+ years, Arkade has successfully delivered 31 projects, encompassing over 5.5 million sq. ft. and impacting more than 5,500 families across Mumbai. The firm’s focus on premium society redevelopment in strategic suburban markets—such as Andheri, Goregaon, and Santacruz—ensures superior IRR, low execution risk, and capital efficiency.

In FY25, Arkade posted revenue of ₹683 Cr, EBITDA of ₹206 Cr, and PAT of ₹157 Cr, translating into an EBITDA margin of ~30% and ROCE of 31%. Despite these strong metrics, the stock remains undervalued at 24.3x P/E and 17.4x EV/EBITDA, compared to industry averages of 45x and 30x, respectively. This valuation gap provides a highly attractive entry point, with a near-term target price of ₹271 and a projected FY27 price of ₹497.73 (based on 39x P/E), indicating significant upside potential.

The company’s zero net debt, robust project pipeline worth ₹10,800+ Cr, and marquee developments like Filmistan, Andheri, and Santacruz, provide earnings visibility for the next 3–5 years, along with scope for rerating as execution unfolds.

On the governance front, Arkade exhibits institution-ready transparency—with no promoter pledging, sound disclosures, and strong ESG orientation—under the experienced leadership of Mr. Amit Jain. This enhances its appeal for long-only funds and professional investors seeking consistency and credibility.

In summary, Arkade Developers Ltd. offers a rare blend of premium real estate exposure, robust financials, and deep value. For HNIs, family offices, and institutional investors, this represents a strategic opportunity to participate early in a multi-year value creation journey, driven by urban consolidation, disciplined growth, and operational excellence.

The image added is for representation purposes only

Aurionpro Shares Climb After ₹30 Crore Digital Infrastructure Contract Win

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Business, Economy, Editorials, education, Equities, Investor Forum, Market News - August 29, 2023

Wales government to discuss with welsh companies on investing in gift city in kochi:

The Kerala government has agreed on a student exchange programme and is sending the healthcare workers to Wales, which is held by the government. A Kerala chief minister has been on a tour of Europe, including a stop in London to promote a programme that will send health workers from Kerala to Wales, as well as student exchanges through the taith program.

The Taith programme is a five-year Welsh government initiative that brings students and educators from all over the world to Wales.with the aim of raising its benefits to the country’s international profile. Earlier, Kerala industries minister Veena George had been welcomed to Cardiff, in Wales.

ministerial delegation:

According to officials, chief minister Pinarayi Vijayans, who was part of the Wales ministerial delegation from Kerala, stated that the government will take the initiative to discuss with companies about investing in the gift city, which will be launched in Kochi, which is located in the southern state.

The chief minister officer stated in a statement that a decision was also made to sign a memorandum of understanding with the Welsh government for the purpose of sending health professionals from Kerala to the European country.and also said that the first batches of health professionals under the memorandum of association are expected to arrive in Wales by next year.

The discussion was held in between the Kerala delegation, which was held by the chief minister, Pinarayi Vijayan, and interaction with the first minister of Wales’ government, Mr. Mark Drake, as well as with the other members of his government, including along with the Welsh health minister and social service minister, Eluned Morgan.

Furthermore, the CMO stated that, according to a study conducted by the school of architecture, the problems highlighted by the port city of Kochi were noise pollution, water pollution, traffic, and other general pollution, among other things, faced by pedestrians.There should be a need to maintain biodiversity etc.

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MRF Q1 FY26: Revenue Up, Profits Down on Margin Pressures

Automobile News, Autos, Business, Editorials, Expert Views, Market News, Markets - August 27, 2023

Auto industry needs to provide flexi-fuel vehicles at various price points to accelerate blended fuel technology adoption .

In an event organised by the auto industry body, the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers [SIAM], the union ministers of petroleum and natural gas and housing and urban affairs stated that the Indian automobile industry needs to provide flexi-fuel vehicles at various price points quickly to accelerate the adoption of blended technology.The government will provide comprehensive support from the supply , policy and demand side for the sale of the flexi-fuel E10, which is a blend of 10 percent ethanol with the petrol, and the E20, which is a blend of 20 percent ethanol with the petrol.

Vehicles are the auto industry’s viable business proposition;

we need more options at various price points, including two-wheelers and three-wheelers, and we need them quickly. Hardeep Singh Puri, the minister for petroleum and natural gas, as well as housing and urban development, used the launch of Toyota’s first-of-its-kind pilot project on the flexi-fuel [FFV-SHEV] that can run on 100 percent ethanol in India last week to demonstrate how things are progressing on the blended fuel front.He also said the government is ready from the supply side to launch the E20 .

The union minister, Nitin Gadkari, launched this first pilot project on flex fuel strong hybrid electric vehicles [FFV–SHEV] on October 20, 2022 . which has been imported from Toyota Brazil for the pilot project . FFVs allow for greater ethanol substitution of gasoline because they can use any of the higher ethanol blends ranging from 20 percent to 100 percent.An FFV-SHEV has a flex-fuel engine and an electric power train, providing the dual benefit of higher ethanol use and greater fuel efficiency, as it can run in its EV mode for extended periods of time while the engine is turned off.

Target achievement:

Achieving the E20, which is blending with petrol by 2025, would help India save foreign exchange by about Rs 30,000 crores per annum . Hardeep Singh Puri also said that India will push for an international biofuel alliance when it assumes the presidency of the G20 in December this year .

Further , he said, we will utilise our G20 presidency to try and set up an international biofuel alliance . The number of petrol pumps selling bio fuels has more than tripled, from 29,897 in 2016-2017 to 67,641 in 2021-2022.He also says in his statement the India’s ethanol demand is poised to grow to 10.16 billion litres by the year 2025 . and also expanded the excise duty waiver for biofuels and will always consider how to prepare this even further in the future .

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Everest Kanto reported a total revenue of Rs. 380 Cr.

Editorials - October 12, 2022

Amid an energy crisis, desperate Europeans turn to firewood for warmth

Amid an energy crisis, desperate Europeans turn to firewood for warmth.

At a summit in Prague, European leaders fell short of agreeing on a price cap for gas amid concerns that any such move could threaten supplies to the region. the gas pipeline is the latest sign of the regions critical position as Russia slashes supplies in the standoff over the war in Ukraine. As much as 70% of European heating comes from the natural gas and electricity and with Russian deliveries drastically reduced.

In france prices for wood pellets have rised nearly doubled to 600 euros a ton. And there are signs of panic buying of the most basic fuel , meanwhile wood stoves can now take months to deliver. The energy level of crisis is intensifying a surge in living expenses , with inflation strapped households across the region are increasingly faced with choosing between heating and other essentials.

Europeans are so angry over sky-high bills and starting to gather the firewood for winter.,
For many Europeans the key concern is doing whatever it takes to stay warm in the coming months. The fear for heat could create health and environmental issues. the diseases can end up deep in the lungs and cause heart attack , strokes etc said by the expert. In Germany facing a yet another crisis after Russia shut down its Nordstrom one national gas pipeline due to technical issues. Germany, where the country’s association of chimney sweeps is dealing with a flood of requests to connect a new and old stoves, and peoples are inquiring about the burning horse dung.

People are anxious for wood and they are buying more than usual. In Berlin , crisis creates unsettling echoes of the desolation following world war 2 with fuel of short supply, residents chopped down nearly all the trees in the central tiergarten park for heating.

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Adoption of high speed rails can aid in growth of India’s EV adoption rate like China

Business, Editorials, Equities, Markets, Research - September 30, 2022

the-cabinet-okays-a-rs-10000-crore-futuristic-revamp-of-three-major-railway-stations

The Cabinet okays a Rs 10,000 Crore futuristic revamp of three major railway stations.

The union cabinet meeting, which is chaired by the hon. prime minister, Narendra Modi, have gave approval for the redevelopment of 3 major railway stations with a total investment of Rs 10,000 crores. Further, union minister of railways Ashwini Vaishnaw has said that the stations will be develop with a futuristic design.
1. New Delhi railway station
2. b] The railway station in Ahmadabad, as well as
3. c] Mumbai’s Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj Terminus [CSMT].
A railway station is an important and central place for any city. PM Shri Narendra Modi has given importance to station development in the transformation of railways by using green building techniques method with solar energy, water conservation, recycling and improved tree cover. cabinet decision gives a new direction to the station dev.,work on development of 199 station on and from these tenders have been issued for 47 railway stations. For the remaining stations, the master planning and design is in progress. Work progression is fast for 32 stations and the cabinet has sanctioned an investment of Rs 10,000 crores for 3 big stations, namely New Delhi, CSMT Mumbai and Ahmadabad.

The components of railway station design will be:

Every station will have a spacious roof plaza of [38/72/108m] with all the passengers’ amenities in one place, along with spaces for retail, cafeterias, and recreational facilities..
Both sides of the city will be connected to the station, and with the station building on both sides of the railway tracks.

Facilities like food courts, waiting lounges, playing areas for children , and places for local products, etc. will be available.

To make stations comfortable , there will be a proper illumination , way finding, signage, acoustics, lifts, escalators, and travelators.

A detailed plan have been prepare for the smooth movement of traffic with adequate parking facilities.

There will be corporations for transportation like metro, buses, etc.

Green building techniques will be use in stations redeveloping with solar energy, water conservation, and recycling and improved tree cover.

Special care will be taking to provide Divyang with friendly facilities.

This stations will be built on the concept of elegant building.

There will be segregation of arrivals and departures, clutter-free platforms, improved surfaces, and fully covered platforms.

All stations will have a CCTV installation with remote access.

development benefits:

These will be iconic station buildings. However, shifting from the earlier stance, the ministry will no longer be looking at station redevelopment on a public–private partnership [ppp] basis, the minister said. The 3 stations will be develop completely through budgetary means, he added. The projects will be tendered out through the engineering procurement and construction [EPC] mode. This comes from the ministry had earlier floated a tender for the redevelopment of Chhatrapati shivaji maharj terminus under the build-operate-transfer [BOT] MODE. A form of PPP.

The benefits of the EPC mode are that it results in the creation of 35,744 new jobs; it improves the daily experience of more than two million travellers; it also helps the local economy through investment and additional business opportunities; and it promotes transit-oriented development of cities.

The development assumes significance with respect to the monetisation plans of the railway ministry , which is the second highest contributor to the centres The Rs 6 trillion national transportation .Further, Vaishnaw said that the Delhi station will take around 3.5 years to complete as it involves complex operational changes, and the other two railway stations, Ahmadabad and CSMT Mumbai, will be ready in 2.5 years. The redevelopment of the stations is to be complete in a time span of approximately 2–3.5 years.

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Kalpataru Secures ₹708 Crore from Anchor Investors!

Business, Editorials, Equities, Markets, Real Estate, Research - September 27, 2022

DLF Ltd posted a consolidated revenue of Rs 1516 Crores.

DLF Ltd posted a consolidated revenue of Rs 1516 Crores.

DLF Ltd’s consolidated revenue in the first quarter of the fiscal year was Rs 1516 crores, a 22% increase year on year. Gross margins continue to operate in the 50% plus range. The Q1 23 margin stood at 53%. EBITDA stood at Rs. 488 crores. There is a drop in this quarter due to the scaling up phase and investing in the growth of the company. The increase in staff costs is driven by organisation scale up, and other expenses are driven by business scale up costs of marketing and brokerage Reflecting a 39% increase year on year. This was largely driven by a significant reduction in the financing costs, along with growth in the JV profits.

Demand continues to exhibit sustained momentum.

The high demand for luxury homes has been a key trend that is expected to continue. In addition, the residential business maintains its consistent performance, with new sales bookings of Rs 2040 crores, representing a 101% year-on-year increase. The Camellias company’s luxury product offering remained the preferred destination across the super luxury segment and delivered a healthy sales booking of Rs 350 crores during the quarter. The company’s new product remains to continue contributing to the sale of Rs 1532 crores during the quarter, which was approximately 75%.

DLF Cyber City Developers Limited consolidated results for Q1 Financial Year ’23.company witnessed steady performance across the portfolio. The retail business continued its growth path and delivered healthy growth. Rental income grew by 20% year-on-year, driven by a strong growth in retail revenue. Consolidated revenue of Rs. 1,260 crores as compared to Rs. 1,041 crores last year, reflecting a21% year-on-year growth. EBITDA at Rs.961 crores, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18%, and net profit at Rs.323 crores, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60%
.

Retail businesses continue to exhibit steady growth with an improvement in consumption trends. Organized retail is expected to gain further share with a strong preference for quality assets at established locations. Given these tailwinds, company remain committed to growing the portfolio across multiple geographies and retail presence in the next few years. Companys strong balance sheet and healthy cash flow generation, coupled with a diversified pipeline of quality offerings, provide a unique opportunity to leverage this up cycle.

VALUATIONS:

The EPS was Rs. 1.90, compared to Rs. 1.36 in June 2021. The ROCE and ROE were at 4.84% and 4.61%, respectively. The stock was trading at a P/E ratio of 54.3x. The company’s asset turnover ratio was 0.11x. The scrip is trading at Rs.395, up by 2.61% on Tuesday.

Astral Pipes posted a net profit of Rs. 96 Cr.

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Business, Editorials, Equities, Markets, Research - September 17, 2022

Astral Pipes posted a net profit of Rs. 96 Cr.

Astral Pipes posted a net profit of Rs. 96 Cr.

Astral posted consolidated revenue growth of 73.2% YoY in Q1FY23, majorly led by growth in plastic and adhesive. In the plastics segment, the company reported volume growth of 48.5% YoY, which was on par with the industry growth, indicating that Astral gained market share in the plumbing segment. The company’s gross margins fell by 717bps YoY due to a fall in PVC prices, leading to an inventory loss of Rs 25 Cr. The raw material and PVC prices are falling continuously and reached Rs 102/kg in July ’22 from Rs 120/kg in April-Jun 22. The company’s EBITDA margins fell by 433bps YoY due to a fall in its gross operating profitability. However, its reported PAT grew by 27.0% YoY at Rs. 96 Cr. as compared to sales due to a fall in operating profitability.

Volume expansion to boost growth:

Astral has reported volume growth of 10% in the piping segment, the highest among peers in the last 4 years. This reflects that Astral is gaining market share in the plumbing segment. The raw material and PVC prices have been falling continuously, which would help in improving the gross margins of the company after inventory is stabilised. Astral could deliver consolidated margins in the range of 17% to 18% in the upcoming quarters. Furthermore, Astral’s foray into valves, resins, sanitary ware, and tanks would add revenue growth in the upcoming years.

The company estimates that newly launched products and segments, including tanks, drain-pro, ball-valve, sanitary ware and faucets, and paint business, will be able to generate revenue of Rs 1,500 Cr over the next 5 years. Astral has invested Rs 1,000 crores in capex over the last five years, with the funds being used in the coming years. Therefore, the company is confident that it will be able to grow not only in its existing product portfolio but also accrue additional revenue of Rs 1,500 Cr in the next 4–5 years by leveraging its new products and categories. In April ’22, the company entered into a definitive agreement to acquire a controlling 51% stake in the operating business of Gem Paints Private Limited. ‘Gem’ paints have been manufacturing industrial and decorative coatings in South India.

Valuations:

The EPS was Rs. 4.42, compared to Rs.3.68 in June 2021. The ROCE and ROE were at 29.6% and 22.6%, respectively. The stock was trading at a P/E ratio of 94.3x. The company has an asset turnover ratio was 1.45x.The scrip is trading at Rs.2339, down by 6.65% on Friday.

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Business, Editorials, Equities, Food, Markets, Research - September 16, 2022

Kaveri Seeds reported a net profit of Rs. 240 Cr.

Kaveri Seeds reported consolidated revenue increased by 9% YoY to 690 Cr., led by higher cotton acreage and improved volumes. The EBITDA, at 250 Cr., improved by 18.3% YoY, while PAT grew 19.1% YoY to 240 Cr. The EBITDA margin improved to 37.1%. Cotton volumes increased by 8.3% YoY while revenue fell by 3.8%. The non-cotton volumes improved by 9.8% while revenue increased by 10% YoY. The company intends to improve volume and revenue for the rest of FY23 with double-digit growth in this segments.

Volume growth aids the topline:

The use of illegal cotton seeds has come down as organised players have gained market share in the cotton seed segment, which has also led to an increase in revenue. The new product launches continued in the quarter as the company introduced newer products across all segments. The new products in the North American market include KCH111, VIPLAV, Money Maker, and KCH 9333. The selected rice volumes grew by 15.2% in FY23. Hybrid rice volumes increased by 6.1% and revenue by 1.0%. The introduction of new hybrids such as the 425, 471, 729, and 473 fueled the segment’s rapid growth. The vegetable seed sales volume increased by 25.9% while revenue decreased by 2.5%. The company is expecting double-digit growth in maize, sunflower, vegetables, and rice in the second half of the year. Farmers’ sentiment has also been influenced by the delay in the onset of the monsoon across India until mid-June.

The company continues to see encouraging growth in vegetable seed acreage, revenue growth, and volumes. The overall exports of KSCL have contributed to 19 Cr. in revenues. The management expects exports to contribute a significant share in the next year. The high market shares and cotton prices drove increased cotton acreage during the current year. Increased competition in the cotton segment led to muted growth due to smaller companies with low realisations crowding the market, which will eventually result in lower overall realisations and higher discounts given during the quarter. The price of cotton per packet was up by 40 YoY.

The company remains confident that discount reversals will happen next year due to lower illegal BT cotton share and overall better market sentiment, despite not being able to realise prices. There is a decrease in acreage due to rain shortages. The higher prices will result in more acres in the cotton crop, which is a major risk for the company.

KSCL’s earnings seem to have normalised and are likely to improve for the rest of FY23. The contribution from the non-cotton segment is improving, and the division is expected to post double-digit growth. The leadership position, R&D focus, healthy product pipeline, presence across crop categories and strong distribution network will act as key levers for growth over the long term. The increasing contribution from the higher-growth projected non-cotton segment will aid the performance. There is a decrease in acreage due to rain shortages. The higher prices will reduce acres in the cotton crop.

Valuations:

In June 2022, the EPS was Rs. 41.27, compared to Rs. 33.44 in June 2021. The ROCE and ROE were at 17.1% and 16.3%, respectively. The stock was trading at a P/E ratio of 10.9x. The company is debt free, and the asset turnover ratio was 0.48x. The scrip is trading at Rs.461, down by 3.05% on Friday.

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Business, Editorials, Equities, Markets, Research - September 16, 2022

Tarsons Products earned Rs. 29 crores in net profit.

Tarsons Products earned Rs. 29 crores in net profit.

On the high COVID-led base for Q1FY22, revenues fell 0.4% year on year. The total revenue was Rs 85 Cr and the net profit was Rs 29 Cr on a consolidated basis. The company reported a standalone revenue of Rs. 69 crore and a net profit of Rs. 20 crore.The operating profit was recorded at Rs. 44 Cr., with a pre-tax income of Rs. 39 Cr.

Margins shrink.

Domestic business fell around 6% YoY and 20% QoQ. The sequential decline was due to seasonality, with Q1 tending to be the weakest quarter. The company took a price hike in Q1FY23, which will begin to reflect in the next few quarters. The export business grew 11.1% YoY. This, coupled with elevated raw material prices, resulted in dragging gross margin down by 280bps YoY to 79.1%. The SG&A expenses grew 20.7% YoY, led by higher freight and promotion expenses. As a result, the EBITDA margin fell 760 basis points year on year (-680 basis points quarter on quarter) to 45.4%. The company expects to maintain healthy margins in the coming years thanks to improved product mix, increased contribution from new products, and in-house sterilisation, partially offset by higher costs associated with the start-up of new plants.

The PCR has received a good response from the customers in terms of quality. Specialised resin prices have stabilised, whereas packaging and paper costs have started declining. The revenues will be driven by growth in both domestic and export markets. We expect the company to maintain healthy margins in the coming years. The increased market share and strong growth in end-user industries will benefit the company. The major risk for the company is intensified competition and disruption in the distribution network.

Valuations:

The EPS was Rs. 5.54. The ROCE and ROE were at 35.3% and 27.4%, respectively. The stock was trading at a P/E ratio of 46x. The debt-to-equity ratio was 0.04x, whereas the asset turnover ratio was 0.72x. The interest coverage ratio stood at 33x. The scrip was trading at Rs.870, up by 1.02% on Thursday.

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Business, Editorials, Equities, Markets, Research - September 16, 2022

Control Print declared a strong set of Q1FY23 results.

Control Print declared a strong set of Q1FY23 results.

The key highlight for the quarter was higher gross and EBIDTA margins YoY and QoQ on account of better product mix. The revenues grew by 19.7% YoY to 65.1 crore. Gross margins expanded QoQ by 440 bps to 63% vs. 58.7% in Q1FY22, which was mainly on account of a higher share of consumables in the overall revenues. which also led to EBIDTA margins coming in at 27.3% in Q1FY23 vs. 23.7% QoQ and 21.7% YoY. The PAT came in at 11.7 crore, up 105% YoY.

Strong financials:

The company, as of FY22, has an installed base of more than 15,000 printers. The consumable goods saw good traction during the quarter, while building materials, pharmaceuticals, and bearings also expanded their base. The company suffered a bit due to chip shortages and supply chain issues, but things will get back to normal in the coming 1-2 quarters. Dairy, healthcare, packaged food, cable, and FMCG also provided good contributions to business. The company is now focusing on developing software for customers so they can provide customized support to them. Telecalling is also helping companies acquire new customers. Imported raw materials account for 25-27% of total imports.The company has sold around 756 printers, of which CIJ printers are dominating the quantity with over 55–65% of the total share. The company is enjoying a higher installed base for printers as during COVID, printers’ sales were good. They offer seven different types of printers, of which CIJ and TIJ are the most common. The higher percentage of consumables in revenue resulted in higher gross and EBITDA margins. The current utilization level stands at 55-60 companies per hour. Capacity can be increased as needed.

Valuations:

The EPS was 7.40 rupees. The ROCE and ROE were at 18.8% and 15.3%, respectively. The stock was trading at a P/E ratio of 18.5x. The asset turnover ratio was 0.84x. The interest coverage ratio stood at 47.7x. The scrip was trading at Rs.486, up by 1.06% on Thursday.

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Editorials

4. Quarterly Performance (Q4 FY25)

5. Financial Highlights (P&L Statement)

6. Financial Highlights Balance Sheet Statement

7. Financial Highlights (Cash Flow Summary)

Key Cash Flow Highlights (FY21–FY25)

8. Ratio Analysis

Key Ratio Analysis – FY25

9. Financial Projections

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2. Premium Market Exposure at Mid-Cap Valuations

3. Proven Execution & Operational Strength

4. Clean Financials and Robust Pipeline

5. Promoter Integrity & Institutional Governance

Conclusion: A Mispriced Premium Real Estate Opportunity

15. Conclusion

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Vehicles are the auto industry’s viable business proposition;

Target achievement:

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The components of railway station design will be:

development benefits:

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Volume growth aids the topline:

Valuations:

Valuations:

6. Financial Highlights
Balance Sheet Statement