Consumer Durables Set for 11% CAGR, to Hit ₹3 Lakh Cr by 2029
India’s consumer durables sector is poised for substantial growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11%, expected to reach ₹3 lakh crore by 2029, according to a report by EY Parthenon and the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII). Currently contributing 0.6% to India’s GDP, the sector is anticipated to significantly increase its contribution as it benefits from rising domestic consumption, a shift towards indigenization, and a growing focus on sustainability.
Growth Trajectory and Key Drivers
EY Parthenon’s report highlights the sector’s ambitious target to become the fourth-largest global market for consumer durables by 2027. By 2030, India could emerge as a global leader in the sector, creating an estimated 5 lakh new jobs. The expanding domestic market, particularly driven by urbanization, rising incomes, and changing lifestyles, presents a unique opportunity for manufacturers to ramp up production and innovation.
Angshuman Bhattacharya, partner and national leader for consumer products and retail at EY Parthenon, emphasized that India’s growing consumer base and favorable government policies are laying the foundation for this transformation. “Progressive government initiatives like Atmanirbhar Bharat, Make in India, and the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme are creating a favorable environment for the sector’s growth,” Bhattacharya noted. He stressed that leveraging emerging opportunities, enhancing value chain integration, and addressing current challenges will be key for the sector to become a cornerstone of India’s economic growth.
Premiumization and Technology Adoption
One of the core trends driving growth in India’s consumer durables market is the shift towards premium and value-added products. Consumers are increasingly spending on discretionary items, prioritizing household upgrades and adopting smart, energy-efficient products that offer greater convenience and sustainability. Notably, air conditioners (ACs), once considered a luxury, have become a necessity for a broader segment of the population, reflecting a shift in consumer priorities.
Technological advancements are also accelerating demand for smart appliances, further shortening product replacement cycles. With the increased penetration of high-speed internet and improved connectivity, consumers are now more inclined to invest in devices that are not only energy-efficient but also smart and interconnected. The growing middle class, in particular, is driving this shift, with a clear preference for appliances that integrate sustainability and technology.
The report highlighted the increased adoption of televisions, which saw household penetration rise to 60% in 2023. This is indicative of a broader trend of rising consumer aspiration, where technology-driven products such as smart TVs, refrigerators, and washing machines are becoming more commonplace in Indian households.
E-commerce and Supply Chain Expansion
Despite the growing demand for smart and premium products, India currently lags behind many other countries in terms of online sales, with e-commerce accounting for only 14% of overall consumer durable sales. However, online channels are expected to grow rapidly, driven by greater brand choice, home delivery options, and a widening consumer base.
The government’s Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC) initiative is expected to play a pivotal role in boosting e-commerce adoption, especially in smaller cities and rural areas. By democratizing access to a wide range of products and enhancing consumer choice, ONDC aims to broaden the market base and accelerate the penetration of consumer durables across tier-2 and tier-3 cities and rural regions.
This rural expansion, coupled with the growth of online retail, is likely to be a significant driver of growth in the coming years. The report forecasts that the supply chain will deepen its reach into these markets, offering consumers access to a wider array of products, including premium and value-added items.
Policy Support and Industry Recommendations
The EY Parthenon report underscored the importance of collaboration between government and industry stakeholders to further boost domestic demand for consumer durables. Recommendations include increasing incentives for the PLI schemes, particularly for critical components such as controllers, compressors, and motors, which are key to the manufacturing process. Additionally, harmonizing the GST slabs across different product categories could enhance affordability, making consumer durables accessible to a broader audience across various income groups.
Another significant recommendation involves incentivizing the ownership of energy-efficient products. Providing tax breaks or on-bill financing to consumers purchasing energy-efficient appliances can help reduce the energy burden while promoting sustainability. These incentives could drive a multi-fold circular benefit for both the industry and consumers by lowering energy consumption and contributing to environmental goals.
Conclusion
With strong policy backing, increasing consumer demand, and technological advancements, India’s consumer durables sector is on track to become a global powerhouse. As manufacturers capitalize on these growth opportunities and adapt to the evolving market dynamics, the sector is set to play a pivotal role in driving India’s economic growth and job creation over the next decade. By 2029, with continued investment and strategic collaboration, India’s consumer durables market will likely cement itself as a critical player in the global arena.
The image added is for representation purposes only