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REC financial performance

India’s Power Capacity Expands Significantly: From 305 GW to 476 GW Over Ten Years

REC Ltd. Achieves 30% YoY Growth in Net Interest Income for Q1FY25

REC Ltd Achieves 30% YoY Growth in Net Interest Income for Q1FY25

 

Current Market Price INR 579.65
Current Market Cap INR 1,53,938 Cr.
High/Low INR 654/ INR 231
BSE Code 532955
NSE Code RECLTD
Bloomberg Code RECL:IN
P/BV 2.1

About the Stock:

REC Ltd., formerly known as Rural Electrification Corporation Limited, is an Indian government-owned public sector company under the Ministry of Power. Established in 1969, REC Ltd. was initially tasked with funding and promoting rural electrification initiatives throughout India. Over time, the company’s scope has expanded to include funding projects related to power generation, transmission, and distribution in both urban and rural areas. REC Ltd. has consistently demonstrated strong financial performance, characterized by solid profitability, liquidity, and solvency. The majority of its revenue comes from interest income on loans to companies within the power sector, supported by a robust capital structure.

Price Performance:

1 Month -6.16 %
3 Month 7.12 %
1 Year 159.76%
3 Year 408.96%

Industry Overview:

The power sector has thrived during the post-pandemic recovery phase, driven by increased demand and a focus on energy transformation. In the fiscal year 2023–2024, total power generation reached 1,738 BU, representing a 7% increase compared to the previous year. However, renewable energy sources, including hydropower, accounted for 364 BU, marking a 2.2% year-over-year decrease. Notably, large hydro generation experienced a significant 17.8% slowdown despite a 10.9% increase in renewable energy generation. Total power generation from non-fossil fuels stood at 412 BU, a 1.4% decrease from the prior year, resulting in non-fossil energy comprising 24% of the total. Additionally, the fiscal year saw a 26 GW increase in installed electricity capacity, bringing the total to 442 GW by the year’s end. Remarkably, renewable energy accounted for 73% of the new capacity. The non-fossil capacity share increased from 43% to 45% year-over-year, with peak power consumption reaching a record-breaking 240 GW, up from 215.9 GW the previous year.

Q1FY25 Financial Performance Analysis:

In Q1FY25, REC Ltd. reported a 19% year-over-year growth in total income, rising from INR 10,981 crores in Q1FY24 to INR 13,037 crores. This impressive growth is likely due to an expanded loan book and higher interest revenue, reflecting the company’s strong operational performance. Net interest income (NII) increased by 30% YoY, from INR 3,612 crores in Q1FY24 to INR 4,713 crores in Q1FY25, underscoring REC Ltd.’s ability to effectively manage interest rates and boost lending income.

REC Ltd.’s net profit grew by 16% YoY to INR 3,442 crores in Q1FY25, up from INR 2,961 crores in Q1FY24, highlighting its strong profitability driven by increased revenue and lower expenses. Total comprehensive income, which includes net profit and other comprehensive income, rose by 12% YoY to INR 3,525 crores in Q1FY25, further demonstrating the company’s enhanced equity value and overall financial health.

Disbursements:

  Q1FY25

(INR in Cr.)

Q1FY24

(INR in Cr.)

Generation 4,667 4,446
Renewables Incl Large Hydro 5,351 1,534
Transmission 1,443 837
Distribution 20,714 22,411
a) Distribution Capex 1,980 1,863
b) LPS & LIS 3,007 9,551
c) RBPF 15,727 10,997
I&L – Core 5,753 3,605
I&L – E&M 2,229 890
STL/MTL 3,495 410
Total Disbursements 43,652 34,133
% Increase in Q1FY25 over Q1FY24 28%

Sanctions:

  Q1FY25

(INR in Cr.)

Q1FY24

(INR in Cr.)

Generation 35,552 15,519
Renewables Incl Large Hydro 39,655 24,985
Transmission 7,169 6,808
Distribution 7,600 33,861
a) Distribution Capex 4,200 11,341
b) LPS & LIS 13,620
c) RBPF 3,400 3,500
d) Special Loan 5,400
I&L – Core 19,815 5,810
I&L – E&M 3114
STL/MTL 3,000 700
Total Sanctions 1,12,791 90,797
% Increase in Q1FY25 over Q1FY24 24%

The company’s loan book exhibited robust growth, increasing by 17% YoY from INR 4.54 lakh crores in Q1FY24 to INR 5.30 lakh crores in Q1FY25. This expansion indicates REC Ltd.’s successful operations and its ability to finance major projects. Moreover, asset quality improved as net credit-impaired assets declined from 0.97% YoY to 0.82% of total assets in Q1FY25, reflecting better credit risk management and effective recovery procedures.

REC Ltd.’s net worth significantly increased from INR 60,886 crores in Q1FY24 to INR 72,351 crores in Q1FY25, representing a 19% YoY rise. This growth indicates a strong equity foundation, enhancing the company’s financial stability. The capital adequacy ratio (CAR) for Q1FY25 was a robust 26.77%, well above the regulatory requirement. With Tier I at 24.27% and Tier II at 2.50%, this solid CAR highlights REC Ltd.’s strong capital structure and its capacity to absorb losses while expanding its business.

In summary, REC Ltd.’s Q1FY25 results demonstrate solid and well-managed financial performance, marked by significant growth in revenue, profitability, and asset quality. The company’s strategic focus on expanding its loan book and efficient cost management has led to improved interest rates and net interest margins.

Over the past seven quarters, from December 2022 to June 2024, the financial institution’s asset quality has steadily improved. Gross credit-impaired assets have consistently decreased, from 3.63% in December 2022 to 2.61% by June 2024, indicating a substantial reduction in the risk associated with the loan portfolio. Similarly, net credit-impaired assets, which consider impairments after provisions, have significantly declined from 1.12% in December 2022 to 0.82% by June 2024, showcasing effective provisioning and recovery efforts.

Borrowings:

Particulars Q1FY25

(INR in Cr.)

Q4FY24

(INR in Cr.)

Q1FY24

(INR in Cr.)

Domestic Borrowings:
Institutional including Subordinated Bonds 1,93,011 1,81,471 1,60,325
Loans from Banks, FIs, NSSF, etc 75,043 79,806 85,492
54EC Capital Gains Tax Exemption Bonds 43,246 42,356 38,908
Tax Free Bonds 8,999 8,999 10,307
Infra Bonds 4 4 4
Total Domestic Borrowing 3,20,303 3,12,636 2,95,036
Foreign Currency Borrowings:
External Commercial Borrowings (Bonds & Term Loans) 1,08,644 1,00,169 83,464
FCNR (B) Loans 29,847 25,139 19,082
Total Foreign Currency Borrowings 1,38,491 1,25,308 1,02,546
Grand Total 4,58,794 4,37,944 3,97,582

During the same period, the provision coverage ratio, which measures the extent to which provisions cover impaired assets, fluctuated. It started at 69.11% in December 2022, peaked at 70.64% in March 2023, and then slightly dipped before stabilizing in the subsequent quarters at around 68-70%. While the ratio remains relatively high, the slight decline towards the end suggests that even as the bank’s asset quality improves, it may be slightly reducing its provision buffer, possibly due to increased confidence in asset quality.

The yield on loan assets for Q1FY25 was 9.99%, slightly higher than the 9.82% recorded for Q1FY24. This yield stability indicates that REC Ltd. has maintained profitability in its lending operations, whether through favorable changes in loan terms or a stable interest rate environment.

Key Ratio & Analysis:

Yield on Loan Assets (%) 9.99
Cost of Funds (%) 7.05
Interest Spread (%) 2.94
Net Interest Margin (%) 3.64
Return on Net Worth (%) 19.51
Interest Coverage Ratio (Times) 1.54
Debt Equity Ratio (Times) 6.27

In Q1FY25, the cost of funds decreased to 7.05%, down from 7.23% in Q1FY24. This reduction in financing costs may be attributed to better debt management or favorable borrowing terms, thereby enhancing the company’s profitability.

The interest spread, which is the difference between the cost of funding and the yield on loan assets, improved from 2.59% in Q1FY24 to 2.94% in Q1FY25. This suggests that REC Ltd. has increased the margin between what it pays for funds and what it earns on loans, indicating more profitable lending operations.

The net interest margin (NIM) grew to 3.64% in Q1FY25, up from 3.28% in Q1FY24. The growth in NIM, a critical indicator of a company’s profitability, demonstrates REC Ltd.’s effective allocation of interest income against its interest expenses.

Return on net worth (RoNW) decreased slightly from 19.98% in Q1FY24 to 19.51% in Q1FY25. Although the decline is minor, it suggests a slight drop in the company’s return on equity, possibly due to slower net income growth or an expanded equity base.

During Q1FY25, the interest coverage ratio remained steady at 1.54 times, compared to 1.53 times in Q1FY24. This stability indicates consistent performance in managing the company’s debt obligations, demonstrating its ability to meet interest commitments from earnings.

The debt-to-equity ratio in Q1FY25 was 6.27 times, slightly lower than the 6.42 times noted in Q1FY24. A lower ratio indicates that REC Ltd. has marginally reduced its reliance on debt financing, leading to a more balanced capital structure.

Future Outlook:

REC Ltd. is strategically positioned as a key financier of power infrastructure projects across India. Given the Indian government’s ambitious infrastructure development plans, including rural electrification and renewable energy expansion, REC Ltd. is expected to continue playing a crucial role in funding large-scale power projects. The government’s commitment to achieving universal electricity access and enhancing the reliability of power supply, particularly in rural and underserved areas, ensures a steady flow of projects and opportunities for REC Ltd.

As India strives to meet its renewable energy targets, REC Ltd. is likely to focus more on financing projects related to solar, wind, and other renewable energy sources. This shift aligns with global trends and India’s commitments under international agreements like the Paris Accord. By supporting the transition to a greener energy mix, REC Ltd. can diversify its portfolio and position itself as a leader in financing sustainable energy projects, potentially enhancing its reputation and attracting new business.

REC Ltd. has consistently demonstrated strong financial performance, driven by the size of its loan portfolio, steady revenue growth, and profitability. The company’s sound financial management practices and substantial capital base provide a solid foundation for future growth. As India’s economic development, urbanization, and industrialization progress, REC Ltd.’s loan disbursements are expected to increase, further boosting profitability and shareholder value.

Conclusion

REC Ltd. is well-positioned to benefit from India’s ongoing infrastructure and energy development initiatives. Its strong financial base and focus on funding critical power projects contribute to a positive long-term outlook. However, the company must navigate sector-specific challenges and adapt to evolving market conditions to sustain its growth trajectory.

 

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Strategic Partnerships Fuel One97’s Financial Turnaround

REC Ltd Q2FY24 results updates

After a strong Q2 in FY24 REC is ready for the rerating saga

After a strong Q2 in FY24 REC is ready for the rerating saga

Company Overview:

REC Limited (formerly Rural Electrification Corporation Limited) is a non-banking financial company (NBFC) under the administrative control of the Ministry of Power, Government of India. It is also registered with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) as a public financial institution (PFI) and an infrastructure financing company (IFC).
REC was incorporated in 1969 to finance and promote rural electrification projects in India. Over the years, it has expanded its scope of business to include financing of the entire power sector, including generation, transmission, and distribution. REC also finances projects in the renewable energy and infrastructure & logistics sectors.

REC’s Q2 earnings soar on lower costs and higher margins:

REC Limited’s Q2FY24 earnings were strong on all counts, with a 17bps QoQ NIM uptick, provision reversal of ~INR 5bn, and high 20% YoY loan growth. The company is upbeat on growth guidance of 20% YoY, NIM steadying at 3.5%, and anticipated provision reversals for FY24, which signals strong book value accretion and potential valuation multiple re-rating.
a. NIM uptick: REC’s NIM uptick was driven by asset re-pricing across products, with yields climbing 15bps QoQ, and a favourable liability mix with ~40% borrowings being priced at ~7% (23bps lower than average CoF).
b. Provision reversal: REC reversed provisions of ~INR 5bn, including standard asset provisions created on grounds of prudency during the pandemic and ~INR 2.5bn write-backs led by resolutions of two assets.
c. Loan growth: REC’s loan growth accelerated to 20% YoY after a hiatus of four years, largely led by renewables, LPS, and infra portfolios.
d. Outlook: REC is upbeat on growth guidance of 20% YoY, NIM steadying at 3.5%, and anticipated provision reversals for FY24. This signals strong book value accretion and potential valuation multiple re-rating.

RECL’s loan growth surges on renewables, non-power sectors; FY24E-26E outlook upbeat:

RECL (presumably a financial institution) recorded a strong loan growth of 4% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) and 20% year-over-year (YoY). This growth was largely driven by non-power loans in sectors like infrastructure, logistics, and e-mobility, as well as loans related to LPS (possibly referring to Loan Protection Scheme) and renewables.
The renewables sector constitutes 7% of RECL’s assets, approximately INR 300 billion. There is an expectation that this figure may increase significantly to INR 3 trillion by FY30 (fiscal year 2030). This growth could be triggered by a recent Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) worth INR 280 billion and the government’s goal to increase the share of renewables to 30% of the mix by FY30. Additionally, Q2 saw 25% of overall loan sanctions coming from renewables.
The non-power sector’s share in RECL’s portfolio has increased from 8% in Q1 to 13% of the mix. RECL is actively expanding its capabilities in terms of talent, skillsets, and pricing strategies, with a focus on state-backed, low-risk assets. The report suggests that RECL anticipates a higher loan Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 19% in the fiscal years FY24E-26E. This expectation is based on the quality of renewable corporate clients and high-value infrastructure projects, which provide a robust outlook for the business.

RECL aims to maintain steady NIMs, write-backs to boost FY24 profits:

RECL is aiming to maintain steady NIMs. They are working to control credit costs with the goal of achieving a 0% net Non-Performing Asset (NPA) ratio by FY25. It’s noteworthy that RECL has not experienced any slippages in the past seven quarters, and they expect write-backs in FY24.
In the second quarter (Q2), RECL reported that Stage 3 assets, which typically refer to non-performing or impaired assets, stood at a five-year low of 3.14%. At the moment, there are 19 stressed projects with a total value of INR 149 billion in Stage 3. Out of these, five projects worth INR 18.8 billion are being pursued for resolution outside the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT), and the remaining 14 projects worth INR 130 billion are undergoing resolution within NCLT. It is estimated that there will be a build-up of Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) in the range of 2-2.4% and write-offs during FY24E-26E.

Valuations: Analyst sees 30% upside in RECL:

Despite recent price momentum, RECL is seen as having the potential for further re-rating. This is attributed to the company’s high double-digit growth visibility, positive performance in Q2, and the ability to maintain steady margins in a challenging funding environment. Additionally, the significant write-backs are expected to lead to a high return profile with an anticipated Return on Equity (RoE) of 18-19% and Return on Assets (RoA) of 2.8% in the fiscal years FY24-26E. In light of these positive factors, there has been a revision of the estimates for FY24E and FY25E, with an increase of 15% or more for each of these fiscal years.

REC Ltd Reports Strong Q2FY24 Result:

REC Ltd reported net sales of Rs 11,688.24 crore in September 2023, reflecting a significant increase of 17.4% compared to the same period in September 2022 when it was Rs 9,955.99 crore. The company’s quarterly net profit for September 2023 amounted to Rs 3,789.90 crore, indicating substantial growth of 38.72% from the figure of Rs 2,732.12 crore in September 2022. The EBITDA for September 2023 were reported at Rs 12,193.52 crore, showing strong growth of 32.98% from the EBITDA of Rs 9,169.73 crore in September 2022. REC Limited has a market capitalization of ₹79,668 Crores, reflecting the total market value of its outstanding shares. The stock’s Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 6.19, indicating its valuation in relation to its earnings. A lower P/E ratio suggests potential undervaluation. REC Limited’s Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is 9.14%, showcasing its profitability relative to the total capital employed in the business. The company reported a Profit after Tax of ₹12,739 Crores, representing its net income after accounting for all expenses and taxes. REC Limited has a Price to Book Value (P/B) ratio of 1.25, implying that the current market price of the stock is slightly higher than its book value per share.

Conclusion:

REC Limited, a government-controlled financial company, posted impressive Q2FY24 results. The highlights include a remarkable 17.4% YoY increase in revenue, reflecting strong growth. Notably, the company saw an uptick in Net Interest Margin (NIM), provision reversals, and a substantial rise in loan growth. REC is confident about its future, with a projected 20% YoY growth and stable NIM. The surge in loan growth was primarily fuelled by non-power sectors, and REC anticipates a higher growth rate in loans for FY24-26E. They are also focused on maintaining NIMs and managing non-performing assets.

 

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