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Interest Payment Burden to reduce in FY26
Business, Equities, Markets - January 22, 2025

No requirement of capital investment in state-run banks in the Budget 2025

No requirement of capital investment in state-run banks in the Budget 2025

According to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) regulations, banks in India are required to maintain a Capital to Risk-Weighted Assets Ratio of atleast 11.50 percent. It aims to maintain capital adequacy in the banks in order to fulfill financial commitments as well as to mitigate financial losses. It is to give protection from various risks such as operational risk, credit risk, and market risk.

Most of the public sector banks in India not only fulfill the criteria but also have CRAR of around 16 percent and more as well.

Capital Adaquecy of Public Sector Banks
In the month of December 2024, the Bank of Maharashtra’s CRAR is about 18.71 percent which is the highest record in between all the public sector banks in India. While, the position of lowest capital position is held by Bank of Baroda. It has a CRAR of about 16.26 percent. Even the lowest CRAR fulfills the criteria of RBI’s capital adequacy regulations.

Overall, it indicates state-run banks are not in need of capital financing at this point of time.

Asset quality of Public Sector Banks
In recent times, asset quality of state-run banks is not risky. In the month of September, 2024, their ratio of gross non-performing assets fell to 2.6 percent of the total credits. As per the recent report of RBI’s Financial Stability, it is the lowest record compared to the records of the previous 12 years. While, the net non-performing assets ratio is close to 0.6 percent.

Financial health of Public Sector Banks
The macro stress tests conducted on Public Sector Banks indicates that these banks have the strong capability to tackle stressful situations. In the month of September, 2024, public sector banks’ capital adequacy was about 16.60 percent. It indicates their strong financial health. It also hints that it is improbable for the Union budget 2025 to provide capital financing for state-run banks in India.
Probability of Capital Investment in Public Sector Banks
In the past, the government of India has often taken an initiative of providing capital investment to state-run banks. In the previous 10 Union Budgets of India, the government of India has given capital investment to public sector banks for about three times. The total capital financing accounts to Rs. 3.35 lakh crore.

The main purpose of these capital investments in the state-run banks is to fulfill the regulations. It is also to maintain strong credit growth. It is important to maintain credit growth as it helps to expand the scope of lending to businesses and people. It results in boosting economic growth. This purpose of boosting credit growth is important in state-run banks compared to private sector banks.

Apart from the funding through the Union Budget, state-run banks were able to get capital financing from the Indian government. It got capital investment of about Rs. 20,000 crore in the financial year 2022. In this same financial year, four state-run banks in India got capital financing of about Rs. 14,500 crore in the month of March. This financing was done with the use of pure discount bonds.

The overall financial health of public sector banks indicates that the budget 2025 may not have new capital investment for public sector banks in India.

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India plans to divestment of 5 public sector banks

India plans to divestment of 5 public sector banks

The Indian government might allow divestments of state-banks through the process of stake sales or the lenders selling their own shares to large investors. It will help banks to meet requirements of minimum public holding.

The Indian government could possibly allow public sector banks such as the Central Bank of India, Punjab and Sind, Bank of Maharashtra, UCO Bank, and Indian Overseas Bank to lower ownership stake through share sales under the authority of Department of Investment and Public Asset Management (DIPAM). The second option is banks selling their shares to large investors.

Purpose of divestment
The aim of the divestment is to decrease the government’s holding in these state-run banks to lower than 75 percent. It will improve banks’ cash flows and financial stability. It helps in increasing liquidity of these lenders. These banks’ ability to lend can increase due to this. It will ultimately support in increasing the liquidity and credit creation capacity in the midst of economic uncertainty. According to the analysts, the asset quality of the banking sector has reached its high in the midst of the slowdown in economic growth.

Current government holdings
According to the data of the December 2024 quarter, the government’ stake is about 79.6 percent in the Bank of Maharashtra. While, the government holdings in the Central Bank of India and UCO bank is about 93.1 percent and 95.4 percent, respectively. The government ownership in PSU banks such as Punjab and Sind Bank and Indian Overseas Bank is about 98.3 percent and 96.4 percent, respectively. The total excessive government ownership in these following five state-run banks is close to Rs. 50,000 crore on the basis of the current share price.

Shares of State-run Bank’s Performance
When the news was circulated about the possibility of stake sale of five PSU banks, it led to the shares of the PSU banks surged to 20 percent. While the stocks of Indian Overseas Bank rise to about 19.24 percent. Also, the stock of UCO Bank surged to around 20 percent since October, 2003.

In the previous year, bank stocks observed an indifferent trend. Despite this, investors showed their interest in public sector stocks. The Nifty PSU bank index increased close to 4 percent in the previous twelve months compared to the fall in the NSE Nifty Private Bank index to around 3.6 percent.

According to the price-to-book metric, shares of these five state-run banks are not inexpensive compared to its other bigger peers. Price-to-book is a common financial metric used for comparing a company’s market value with its book value for the purpose of the valuation of the company.

The largest state-run bank of India is State Bank of India (SBI), which accounts to a price-to-book value of 1.44 times. As per the data of Bloomberg, the range of book value is 1.43 to 3.62 times for the five selected state-run banks – Bank of Maharashtra, Indian Overseas Bank, Punjab and Sind Bank, Central Bank of India, and UCO Bank.

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