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Why gold funds saw a record weekly inflow — and what it signals for Indian investors
Commodities, Economy, Markets - October 24, 2025

Why gold funds saw a record weekly inflow — and what it signals for Indian investors

Why gold funds saw a record weekly inflow — and what it signals for Indian investors

In the week to 24 October 2025 global gold-fund flows surged to an unprecedented level, driven by a mix of macro uncertainty, institutional buying and retail interest. Bank of America data cited by market reporters showed record weekly inflows of $8.7 billion into gold funds as the metal briefly traded above $4,380 per ounce before a profit-taking correction. That rush into paper gold—from ETFs to physically backed funds—reflects a deepening role for gold in diversified portfolios and raises specific implications for Indian investors.

What happened
* Global flows: Bank of America and EPFR data pointed to $8.7bn of net new money into gold funds in the most recent week, part of a multi-month deluge that the report estimated as roughly $50bn of inflows over the past four months—an amount larger than the preceding decade plus. At the same time, spot gold briefly touched cycle highs (reported at $4,381.21/oz) then eased amid position-squaring and a firmer dollar.
* India specifics: Domestically, the gold story is also strong. India’s physically backed gold ETFs recorded their largest monthly net inflow in September 2025 — INR 83.6 billion (≈ US$947m) — and total gold-ETF AUM in India crossed about $10 billion after the big September inflow. Popular ETFs posted large turnover spikes during the Diwali season, underscoring growing retail participation.

Why money rushed into gold — the drivers
1. Macro uncertainty and rate expectations: Markets are pricing uncertainty around global growth and monetary policy cycles. Expectations of eventual Fed easing, persistent geopolitical risk and a weaker U.S. dollar at times make real yields less attractive, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge. Analysts and banks have been raising medium-term targets for gold, reinforcing investor conviction.
2. Institutional allocations and central bank demand: Large institutional allocations—pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and asset managers—have been rotating small portions of fixed-income/FX allocations into gold. Central bank purchases remain structurally positive for net demand. This combination amplifies ETF flows because ETFs offer an efficient way for institutions to accumulate.
3. Retail and festival demand (India): In India, the Diwali season traditionally lifts retail interest in gold; this year, that cultural demand combined with ETF convenience and weak equity returns pushed investors to paper gold rather than jewellery alone. Higher ETF turnover and market share for some providers show retail adoption of financial gold.
4. Momentum and positioning: Rapid price appreciation created momentum flows and derivative positioning that amplified both the rally and subsequent volatility—hence the sharp inflow numbers followed by an intraday pullback as some participants booked profits.

What the inflows mean for Indian investors
1. Gold’s role as portfolio insurance is rising, but sizing matters. The behaviour seen in October suggests investors view gold more as an uncorrelated ballast than a pure trading vehicle. For long-term portfolios, many advisors suggest modest allocations—commonly 5–10%—to physical gold, gold ETFs, or sovereign gold bonds, depending on goals and liquidity needs. The recent inflows argue for at least reviewing and potentially modestly increasing allocations for risk-off cushioning.
2. Choose the instrument to match the purpose. Physical jewellery suits cultural uses and gifts but carries making charges and inventory premiums. Gold ETFs and sovereign gold bonds (SGBs) offer lower transaction cost, better price transparency, and—critically—no making charges; SGBs also pay fixed interest. For portfolio exposure and trading, ETFs are efficient; for long-term savings with some yield, SGBs may be preferable.
3. Be mindful of timing and volatility. Rapid flows create short-term volatility, as the mid-week pullback demonstrated. Investors chasing a top risk buying at elevated prices; a disciplined approach (staggered buying/rupee cost averaging or using SIPs into gold ETFs) reduces timing risk.
4. Macro and currency exposure matter for India. Gold’s INR price depends on the dollar price and rupee movements. A weakening rupee amplifies domestic gold gains; conversely, a stronger rupee cushions Indian buyers. Monitor FX trends when evaluating domestic returns.

Risks and caveats
While inflows signal strong demand, they also crowd markets. Rapid, concentrated ETF buying can reverse quickly if macro signals change—e.g., surprise hawkish central bank moves, a strong dollar, or a rapid equity rebound that lures risk capital back. Investors should avoid over-concentration and treat recent record inflows as both a trend signal and a volatility warning.

Conclusion
The record weekly inflows into gold funds in late October 2025 reflect a structural shift: gold is being adopted both as portfolio insurance by institutions and an accessible investment by retail in markets such as India. For Indian investors, the takeaway is pragmatic—gold deserves a place in diversified allocations, but instrument choice, allocation sizing, and a disciplined entry strategy are essential to manage valuation and timing risks. The scale of recent flows reinforces gold’s strategic role but also warns of heightened short-term price swings.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Sustainable transition and energy security: investment implications for Indian utilities and grid players

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Why gold funds saw a record weekly inflow — and what it signals for Indian investors
Commodities, Economy, Markets - September 4, 2025

Gold Gains Buying Opportunity as GST Reform Announcements Drive Over 1% Dip

Gold Gains Buying Opportunity as GST Reform Announcements Drive Over 1% Dip

Gold prices dropped sharply by over 1% as investor risk appetite surged following significant GST reform announcements, signaling dynamic market responses ahead of the festive season.

Introduction
Gold prices in India witnessed a notable decline of over 1% on September 4, 2025, driven by increased investor confidence after the government announced wide-ranging Goods and Services Tax (GST) reforms. The GST Council’s decision to rationalize tax slabs and cuts in GST rates on various essential commodities has positively impacted market sentiment, encouraging investments in riskier assets and dampening the appeal for traditional safe havens like gold. This article explores the key changes in gold price dynamics, details of the GST reforms, and what this means for consumers and investors in the short to medium term.

Gold Price Movement and Market Response
On the morning of September 4, gold prices in major Indian cities saw sharp declines. In Delhi, the price for 24-carat gold fell to ₹1,07,000 per 10 grams, and 22-carat gold dropped to ₹98,100, reflecting a dip exceeding 1% compared to previous levels. Similarly, Mumbai, Bangalore, and other metros reported price drops aligned with this trend.
This fall is largely attributed to a surge in risk appetite as investors responded optimistically to the GST Council’s announcements. Market analysts noted that investors are now increasingly channeling funds into equities and other growth-oriented sectors, reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven investment in the immediate term.

Overview of GST Reforms Impacting Market Sentiment
The 56th GST Council meeting, held on September 3, 2025, ushered in a historic reform package dubbed “GST 2.0” that simplifies India’s indirect tax regime. The major highlights include:
• Abolition of the 12% and 28% tax slabs, consolidating GST into two main slabs: 5% and 18% for most goods.
• Introduction of a new 40% slab on sin and luxury goods, including betting, casinos, and large sporting events.
• Cuts in GST rates on everyday goods like hair oil, soaps, toothpaste, kitchenware, and essential food products.
• Exemption of Ultra High Temperature (UHT) milk, paneer, and Indian breads from GST.
• Reduction in GST rates on critical construction materials like cement and steel from 28% to 18%, a move expected to boost the housing and infrastructure sectors.
India’s Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, stated these reforms aim to reduce the tax burden on the common man and stimulate consumption amid evolving economic challenges. The reforms will take effect from September 22, coinciding with the festive season, further boosting consumer demand prospects.

Why GST Reforms Triggered Gold Price Decline
Gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, often inversely correlates with market risk appetite. When economic reforms improve growth prospects and consumption outlook, investors tend to seek higher returns in equities and businesses, reducing gold’s allure as a defensive holding.
The announcement of GST rationalization and tax cuts has heightened optimism about India’s economic recovery and corporate profitability. Since gold prices indirectly respond to sentiment and macroeconomic factors, the improved growth outlook has dampened demand for gold, leading to today’s price slide
Furthermore, gold imports face a steady 3% GST and 5% making charges, a structure maintained by the GST Council’s decision, which continues to impose a moderate tax burden on gold purchases. This tax clarity benefits traders but does not shield prices from global and domestic volatility shaped by regulatory and market dynamics.

Impact on Consumers and the Jewelry Market
The GST decisions provide clarity and relief for jewelers by keeping GST on gold and silver at 3%, with 5% GST on making charges, stabilizing the supply chain ahead of the festival season. Lower tax rates on associated goods and eased compliance requirements foster a stable environment for the precious metals market.
Consumers may experience slight price volatility in gold over the short term but should expect the reforms to boost overall buying power and consumption. The timing before festivals creates a conducive environment for gold purchases as lower taxes on daily essentials enhance disposable incomes.

Broader Economic Implications
GST reforms represent a significant push towards formalizing and simplifying India’s indirect tax structure, directly impacting consumption demand across segments. Experts suggest the reforms will stimulate GDP growth above 8% by enhancing purchasing power and lowering costs for many goods.
The construction and automobile sectors benefit from reduced GST rates, potentially driving higher demand and economic multiplier effects. As consumption improves and market confidence rises, gold’s role as a hedge may diminish temporarily in favor of growth-linked assets.

Conclusion
The over 1% decline in gold prices on September 4, 2025, is a direct market reaction to sweeping GST reforms announced by the government. By streamlining tax slabs and cutting rates on essentials, the reforms have improved market sentiment and risk appetite, steering investments towards growth assets and away from gold’s safe haven status. Consumers and investors stand to benefit from increased clarity and enhanced purchasing power as the new GST regime rolls out with the festive season, promising stronger economic activity and a dynamic consumer market ahead.

 

 

 

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GST Tax Rate Reform – September 2025

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Gold, Silver Surge to Record Highs on MCX Amid Tariff Jitters, Fed Rate Cut Buzz
Commodities, Economy, Markets - September 2, 2025

Gold, Silver Surge to Record Highs on MCX Amid Tariff Jitters, Fed Rate Cut Buzz

Gold, Silver Surge to Record Highs on MCX Amid Tariff Jitters, Fed Rate Cut Buzz

Precious Metals Rally on Safe-Haven Demand as Global Uncertainties and Trade Tensions Grip Investors

Introduction
Gold and silver have recently surged to unprecedented heights on India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), dominating headlines and captivating investors across the country. Driven by a perfect storm of Trump-era tariff shocks, persistent trade tensions, and renewed hopes for a US Federal Reserve rate cut, these metals have reaffirmed their status as the world’s preferred safe-haven assets. This article draws on the latest media coverage from late August and early September 2025, unpacking the forces behind this dramatic rally and analyzing its implications for market participants and the broader economy.

Record-Breaking Prices in August–September 2025
In recent weeks, both gold and silver futures on MCX broke past historic thresholds. Gold surpassed ₹1 lakh per 10 grams, while silver climbed above ₹1.17 lakh per kilogram, shattering previous records and drawing parallels to periods of extreme market instability.
These unprecedented prices weren’t isolated spikes but part of a sustained upward trend that began in early August—coinciding with major announcements in US trade policy and global monetary speculation. According to Economic Times and India TV News, gold’s rally peaked at ₹1,02,226 per 10g, with silver closing in on ₹1,17,000/kg as tensions escalated.

Trump-Era Tariffs Spark Flight to Safety
A decisive factor driving the metals surge has been trade uncertainty fueled by former President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff measures. On August 6–8, Trump imposed additional tariffs—up to 50% on key Indian and Chinese imports—which sparked panic across global markets.
Investors responded by fleeing riskier equities, pouring their capital into gold and silver. Money Control and Rediff Money report that gold prices in India immediately jumped ₹1,800 on MCX, while silver gained nearly ₹1,500 in a single session. The move was a textbook example of how trade wars catalyze demand for hard assets, with precious metals seen as insurance against economic and policy shocks.

Fed Rate Cut Hopes: Positive Bias Persists
While tariffs grabbed headlines, expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut reignited global demand for gold and silver. When central banks lower interest rates, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and silver diminishes, driving their prices higher.
In late August, encouraging US inflation data bolstered bets that the Fed would soon ease rates to cushion against economic headwinds. Reuters notes that ETF inflows into gold surged, with the metal tracking its best monthly gain since April. Financial analysts quoted in Times of India and Economic Times suggested that, despite some forecasts for price consolidation, the bullish bias remains entrenched due to lingering uncertainty and dovish monetary policy signals.

India’s Unique Position: Domestic Drivers and Investor Sentiment
Indian investors have been especially active. The MCX is one of India’s largest bullion exchanges, making its price movements a bellwether for the nation’s retail buyers, traders, and jewelers. Reports in Hindi-language media such as Times Now and Newstrack reveal continued public interest, with gold consistently trending above ₹1,02,000 per 10g and silver at ₹1,17,572 per kg as of September 1.
Local demand has also been buoyed by the festival season, during which gold and silver traditionally see a spike in purchases. Combined with global safe-haven flows, this has led to exceptional volatility and record-high rates nationwide. Outlook Money further highlights how the sell-offs in equity markets have reinforced the preference for physical assets, deepening the rally.

Market Volatility and Safe-Haven Dynamics
The escalation in precious metals isn’t merely a domestic story—it reflects a broader global flight to safety:
• ETF Inflows: Gold-backed exchange-traded funds saw dramatic increases in holdings, marking investor faith in gold’s resilience.
• Rupee Depreciation: The rupee’s recent slide against the dollar has further amplified local prices, making gold and silver more expensive in India.
• Global Uncertainties: Geopolitical risks—from ongoing trade disputes to tensions in Eastern Europe—continue to add fuel to defensive investing behaviors.
Times of India and Economic Times elaborate that, while prices may temporarily consolidate amid profit-taking, the underlying drivers—tariff fears and monetary easing—keep demand robust.

Implications for Investors
For investors, these developments offer both opportunities and risks. Key takeaways include:
• Diversification Benefits: Gold and silver provide crucial diversification, outperforming equities during periods of volatility.
• Timing Considerations: Buying during record highs can be risky, and experts urge caution, suggesting that partial allocations and cost averaging may mitigate exposure.
• Global Cues: Tracking US monetary policy, geopolitical headlines, and local festival demand is essential to forecasting future price moves.

Conclusion
The rally in gold and silver on MCX this August and September 2025 reflects a confluence of factors: aggressive US tariff policies, anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, local seasonal trends, and persistent global uncertainty. These precious metals have resumed their role as the ultimate hedge, drawing both institutional and retail interest as market participants seek refuge from volatility.
While the future remains uncertain—and sharp corrections are always possible—the past month’s record-setting prices have underscored the enduring appeal of gold and silver. For Indian investors and savers, the message is clear: In an increasingly unpredictable world, the case for precious metals is stronger than ever.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Samvardhana Motherson’s Strategic Leap: Acquiring Yutaka Giken

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Gold, Silver Surge to Record Highs on MCX Amid Tariff Jitters, Fed Rate Cut Buzz
Market News - June 21, 2025

Silver Finally Confirms Platinum’s Take: 2025’s Precious Metals Rally Enters New Phase

Silver Finally Confirms Platinum’s Take: 2025’s Precious Metals Rally Enters New Phase

How Silver’s Surge Reinforces Platinum’s Bull Run and What It Means for Investors

Introduction
The precious metals market in 2025 has been anything but predictable. While gold has long held the spotlight as a safe haven, this year, platinum has stolen the show with an extraordinary rally. Now, silver is catching up, confirming the bullish trend and adding fresh momentum to the sector. This synchronized surge is drawing attention from institutional and retail investors alike, as both metals respond to a unique blend of industrial demand, supply constraints, and macroeconomic factors.

Platinum’s Breakout: The 2025 Story So Far
A Stunning Outperformance
Since the start of 2025, platinum prices have surged by 40%, outpacing gold’s 30% and silver’s 26% gains over the same period. The most dramatic move came in the last month, with platinum spiking 30%—a rate far exceeding gold’s 7% and silver’s 13% over that stretch. This rally has propelled platinum to $1,250 per ounce, a level not seen since 2021 and approaching its historical highs.
What’s Driving Platinum?
• Industrial Demand: Platinum’s use in automotive catalysts, hydrogen fuel cells, and other clean energy technologies is surging, especially as governments and industries accelerate decarbonization efforts.
• Output Limitations: Worldwide mine supply is unable to keep pace with demand, and the gap is set to widen in 2025. Total demand is expected to exceed 7.6 million troy ounces, while supply lags at 5.4 million.
• Investment Demand: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and speculative buying, particularly in Asia, have added fuel to the rally.
• Chinese Buying: China’s imports of platinum have soared, with April 2025 purchases nearly matching the entire NYMEX platinum warehouse stock.
Historical Patterns
Platinum has historically experienced extended phases of stable pricing, occasionally interrupted by sudden and steep price surges. Previous peaks in 1980 and 2008 were followed by steep corrections, underscoring the metal’s volatility and the importance of timing for investors.

Silver’s Surge: Confirmation of the Bull Market
Catching Up to Platinum
Silver, long considered the more volatile sibling to gold, has staged a powerful rally in 2025. After a relatively modest start, silver prices accelerated in the second quarter, rising 13% in the past month and bringing year-to-date gains to 26%. Forecasts suggest silver could trade between $28 and $40 per ounce this year, with some models projecting even higher spikes if industrial demand remains robust.
Key Drivers for Silver
• Industrial Demand: Silver is critical to the booming solar energy sector, with China’s rapid expansion of solar infrastructure driving unprecedented demand.
• Supply Deficit: Despite a projected 10 million-ounce increase in mine production, demand is set to outstrip supply, supporting higher prices.
• Investor Activity: Retail investors remain highly engaged, with movements like #SilverSqueeze spotlighting perceived price manipulation and keeping upward pressure on prices.
Silver’s Role in the Rally
Silver’s strong performance is now seen as validating the bullish case for platinum. As both metals move in tandem, it signals a broader re-rating of precious metals, driven by real-world demand and macroeconomic uncertainty.

The Macro Backdrop: Why Now?
Global Economic Uncertainty
With global debt levels dwarfing GDP and fiat currencies under pressure, investors are seeking alternatives that can preserve value. Central banks have been accumulating gold since 2022, and now platinum and silver are benefiting from the same flight to safety5.
Clean Energy and Industrial Transformation
Both platinum and silver are essential to the green transition. Platinum is vital for hydrogen fuel cells and automotive catalysts, while silver is indispensable for solar panels and electronics. These industrial uses are not just cyclical—they represent structural shifts in the global economy.

Risks and Historical Perspective
Volatility Remains High
While the current rally is impressive, history warns of sharp corrections following rapid price increases. Platinum, in particular, has seen its peaks quickly followed by dramatic declines—70% in the early 1980s and over 50% in 2008. Investors should be mindful of these patterns and manage risk accordingly.
Long-Term Bull Market?
Despite the risks, the synchronized deficits in platinum and silver, combined with strong industrial and investment demand, suggest that the current rally could be the start of a longer-term bull market.

Conclusion
The narrative for precious metals in 2025 is being rewritten. Platinum’s breakout was the opening act, but silver’s surge is now confirming the sector’s bullish momentum. With both metals underpinned by industrial demand, supply constraints, and macroeconomic uncertainty, investors are witnessing a rare alignment that could define the market for years to come. While volatility is a given, the fundamentals suggest that platinum and silver are poised to remain in the spotlight.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Global Ambitions: Sudarshan Pharma’s Strategic Expansion and Funding Drive

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Gold and Silver Aim for Key Resistance Zones
Market News - June 17, 2025

Gold and Silver Aim for Key Resistance Zones

Gold and Silver Aim for Key Resistance Zones

Precious metals continue upward momentum as gold eyes \$3,500 and silver nears \$36.52, supported by global uncertainty and investor hedging.

Gold and silver are continuing their bullish trends, with both metals now approaching major resistance thresholds. In recent trading sessions, *gold (XAU/USD)* surged past \$3,400 per ounce, setting its sights on the *\$3,500 level, while **silver (XAG/USD)* steadily climbed to test the *\$36.52 mark*—a price area considered pivotal by many technical analysts.

Gold Nears Psychological Resistance at \$3,500

Gold’s strong rally in 2025 has been largely underpinned by mounting geopolitical risks—particularly the intensifying conflict in the Middle East—as well as a weakening U.S. dollar. This combination of factors has renewed interest in gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. With current prices closing in on the *\$3,500 resistance zone*, investors are watching for a decisive breakout.

Should gold pierce above this level, some experts predict a potential climb towards *\$3,600* or higher before year-end. This outlook assumes that the U.S. Federal Reserve maintains a dovish policy stance and global tensions persist.

However, there is growing speculation that gold may be approaching overbought territory. A rebound in investor confidence, or reduced geopolitical friction, could dampen the rally and trigger a *price correction*. Some market watchers also caution that if global inflation eases and risk appetite improves, gold could face headwinds in sustaining further upside momentum.

Silver Poised to Challenge Multi-Year High

Silver is also exhibiting impressive strength, currently trading around *\$36* and approaching a critical ceiling at *\$36.52*, a level not seen in years. This resistance point is seen as a potential pivot—either confirming the ongoing bullish trend or halting it temporarily.

If silver convincingly breaks above *\$36.52, it may advance further toward \$37.50 and possibly *\$41.36*, driven by a mix of speculative buying and strong industrial demand. Analysts highlight that silver, apart from being a precious metal, is also essential to industries like electronics and solar panel manufacturing—both of which are experiencing expansion.

Still, a failure to hold above resistance could trigger a pullback. In such a scenario, key price supports lie at *\$35.00, followed by **\$34.00* and *\$33.50*. A sustained drop below these levels might indicate a shift toward a more bearish short-term trend.

What’s Driving the Momentum?

Several macroeconomic and geopolitical elements are contributing to the strength of both gold and silver:

* *Geopolitical Risk:* Ongoing instability in the Middle East and other global flashpoints continues to drive safe-haven flows into precious metals.

* *Interest Rate Expectations:* Anticipation of potential rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve—owing to slow inflation and softer growth—makes gold and silver more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets.

* *Currency Weakness:* A depreciating U.S. dollar boosts demand for dollar-denominated assets like gold and silver, particularly from foreign investors.

Conclusion

Both *gold and silver* are testing critical resistance levels—\$3,500** and *\$36.52*, respectively. While fundamentals remain supportive for the metals, a mix of technical, political, and economic variables will determine if these barriers are broken or if markets pause for a correction. Investors should remain alert to shifting dynamics in global finance, monetary policy, and international affairs to gauge the next phase of movement.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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ArisInfra Solutions to Launch ₹500 Crore IPO: Market Buzz Suggests Impressive Debut

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Gold, Silver Surge to Record Highs on MCX Amid Tariff Jitters, Fed Rate Cut Buzz
Market News - June 13, 2025

Silver Prices Recover as Buyers Step In at Crucial Support Zones

Silver Prices Recover as Buyers Step In at Crucial Support Zones

Silver prices have recently regained momentum after finding support near critical technical levels. The metal is witnessing a fresh wave of bullish interest, with traders and investors eagerly purchasing on price declines in anticipation of future gains. Silver’s ability to hold steady around the $32.50 support area has attracted considerable attention from market participants who now see this as a potential launchpad for higher prices in the near term.

Silver Holds Firm at $32.53 Support

Silver (XAG/USD) attracted significant buying momentum after approaching the key support zone at $32.53. This region aligns with key Fibonacci retracement zones and moving averages, which have historically acted as reliable support points. Buyers were quick to step in as prices neared this level, halting the recent decline and triggering a fresh wave of demand.

If silver slips beneath this support level, the next significant downside target is expected around $31.80. For now, the market is respecting the $32.53 floor, suggesting the potential for continued upside in the coming sessions.

Upside Targets Point Toward $35 Resistance

Following the rebound from support, silver is now approaching its immediate resistance near $33.40. A decisive break above this zone could open the path toward $34.80 to $35.00, areas where prices have historically faced selling pressure.

Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) are both signaling bullish momentum, reinforcing the case for higher price targets. Silver’s recent ability to hold above short-term moving averages is further encouraging buyers to remain confident.

Global Factors Supporting Silver Prices

Silver’s recovery is also supported by a combination of global economic factors. The softening of the U.S. dollar and growing expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are boosting investor appetite for non-yielding assets like silver.

Recent inflation data in the U.S. came in below expectations, which has reduced the pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates. Lower rates tend to weaken the dollar and make precious metals more attractive as alternative investments.

As long as the U.S. dollar remains under pressure and interest rate expectations stay dovish, silver is likely to continue drawing attention from bullish investors.

Gold’s Rally Adds Momentum to Silver’s Uptrend

The recent surge in gold prices to record highs above $2,940 has also supported silver’s strength. Historically, silver tends to follow gold’s lead, especially during periods of heightened investor interest in precious metals.

The sharp rise in gold prices has drawn more attention to silver, underscoring its dual role as a trusted safe-haven asset and a vital metal for industrial use. The positive sentiment surrounding gold is creating a spillover effect that benefits silver as well.

Buy-on-Dips Strategy Gaining Popularity

Traders are increasingly adopting a buy-on-dips strategy when it comes to silver. The recent bounce from $32.53 has reinforced this approach, as buyers view pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate positions at more favorable prices.

For aggressive traders, entering near the $32.50–32.00 range with tight stop losses below $32.00 is a commonly recommended tactic. Conservative traders, on the other hand, are waiting for a confirmed breakout above $33.40 before initiating fresh long positions with targets set between $34.80 and $35.00.

Potential Risks to Watch

Despite the current optimism, there are a few risks that traders should monitor carefully:

Break Below Support: If silver falls decisively below $32.53, it could trigger a deeper correction towards $31.80 or even lower levels.

Interest Rate Surprises: Unexpected hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve or stronger-than-expected inflation data could reverse the recent bullish momentum.

Profit-Booking Pressure: As silver approaches key resistance levels like $34.80 and $35.00, some investors may begin to book profits, which could temporarily cap the upside.

Market Outlook and Trading Perspective

The overall technical setup remains positive for silver, with the recent bounce from support strengthening the bullish bias. As long as silver holds above the $32.50 mark, the likely direction continues to favor an upward movement.

Investors may consider a buy-on-dips or hold strategy at current levels, while traders should closely watch for breakouts and monitor key economic announcements that could influence U.S. dollar movements and interest rate expectations.

The coming sessions will likely determine whether silver can decisively break past the $33.40 barrier and head towards higher resistance zones near $35.00.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Reliance Industries Trims Holding in Asian Paints: A Portfolio Pivot?

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Why gold funds saw a record weekly inflow — and what it signals for Indian investors
Market News - June 11, 2025

Gold Keeps Its Shine as Global Uncertainty Grows

Gold Keeps Its Shine as Global Uncertainty Grows

While markets panic, gold’s busy glowing up

Gold has been holding steady despite turbulent financial markets, as investor sentiment continues to back the precious metal. While some initial weakness was observed earlier in the week, prices managed to recover, showing strong support around the ₹3,200–₹3,300 range. This recovery highlights how investors are continuing to take advantage of any dips in price to accumulate more gold, driven by an ongoing sense of economic caution and safe-haven appeal.

Although the yellow metal hasn’t shown explosive upward movement in recent sessions, the current price zone appears to be forming a solid base. Market participants have grown increasingly confident in this price floor, expecting further rallies when gold tests these levels. The resistance appears closer to ₹3,500, which might act as a ceiling unless there’s a new catalyst. Analysts remain optimistic, citing institutional buying and macroeconomic pressures as reasons to stay bullish on gold in the near term.

One of the primary drivers behind gold’s current resilience is its status as a safe-haven asset during periods of geopolitical and economic instability. Tensions surrounding global trade policies, particularly between the United States and China, have not only shaken equities but have also made investors wary of traditional financial instruments. In addition, global conflicts and geopolitical flashpoints have added to the appeal of gold, prompting more inflows from risk-averse portfolios.

Further strengthening gold’s case is the continued interest from central banks. According to recent projections, they are expected to purchase around 1,000 tonnes of gold in 2025, extending a multi-year streak of aggressive accumulation. This institutional buying has become one of the strongest pillars of gold’s rise, with prices rallying over 29% in 2025 so far.

A weakening U.S. dollar has also contributed to gold’s buoyancy. With inflation still a concern and the Federal Reserve adopting a more cautious stance, real interest rates remain low, increasing the relative appeal of holding gold. Investors typically flock to non-yielding assets like gold when returns on other fixed-income products are less attractive or when they anticipate currency depreciation.

Despite the strength of gold’s recent rally, projections vary depending on the unfolding global narrative. The most probable scenario suggests that gold could remain within the ₹3,100 to ₹3,500 range, supported by steady buying and lingering concerns over global macroeconomic trends. This base case sees no dramatic shifts in market dynamics but assumes steady support from current economic conditions.

A more optimistic outlook predicts prices climbing toward the ₹3,900 mark if current tensions intensify or if the dollar weakens significantly. This bullish case hinges on increased global instability or a sudden decline in the U.S. economy. On the contrary, a bearish projection foresees gold declining to ₹2,700 if global risks subside and the dollar regains strength, reducing demand for gold as a safety net.

Currently, technical charts indicate consolidation, with the ₹3,295–₹3,300 zone acting as a key support region. Should prices break above ₹3,366 and sustain that level with high volume, analysts believe another upward leg could begin, possibly targeting ₹3,392 or higher. However, if the metal dips below ₹3,245, the market may see a correction, potentially pulling it toward the ₹3,195 mark.

In the present environment, gold’s position remains relatively strong, and the consolidation range offers an opportunity for investors looking to enter the market at lower levels. As long as geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and economic policy uncertainties persist, gold is likely to retain its role as a preferred hedge.

Monitoring indicators like U.S. inflation data, central bank commentary, and trade developments will be crucial in predicting the metal’s next major move. Investors are advised to remain cautious but optimistic, especially as gold continues to trade within a well-supported zone that has repeatedly attracted buyers.

Summary:

Gold continues to stay afloat despite global economic turbulence, thanks to central bank buying, trade concerns, and a weakening U.S. dollar. With prices supported around ₹3,200 and resistance near ₹3,500, the outlook remains positive, although potential corrections are still possible based on macro shifts.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Whirlpool Goes Junk—$1.2B Bond Bet Begins

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Gold, Silver Surge to Record Highs on MCX Amid Tariff Jitters, Fed Rate Cut Buzz
Market News - June 10, 2025

Silver Outlook: Inflation Reports, Fed Policy Drive Multi-Year Price Rally

Silver Outlook: Inflation Reports, Fed Policy Drive Multi-Year Price Rally

Silver Prices Rise as Markets React to CPI and Fed Cues

Introduction

Silver (XAG) has recently witnessed an impressive rally, reaching price points not observed in several years. This upward momentum is largely attributed to the latest inflation data, as well as shifting expectations regarding potential interest rate reductions by the U.S. Federal Reserve. These developments have prompted increased attention from traders and analysts alike, as they could significantly shape the future trajectory of silver prices.

How Inflation Data Is Fueling the Silver Surge

Recent inflation statistics, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, have highlighted stubborn price pressures within the economy. This has triggered investor concerns about declining currency value, encouraging many to move capital into safe-haven assets like silver. As inflation persists, silver becomes a more appealing option for preserving wealth, pushing up demand and driving price growth.

Rate Cut Expectations Boost Precious Metals

In addition to inflation worries, growing speculation that the Federal Reserve might begin cutting interest rates has added momentum to silver’s rise. Since silver does not generate yield, its attractiveness increases when borrowing costs are expected to decline. If the Fed softens its monetary policy in the coming months, silver could see continued support from both retail and institutional investors seeking alternatives to traditional interest-bearing instruments.

Chart Analysis: Bullish Signs Confirm Breakout

Technically, silver has surpassed major resistance levels, indicating a strong bullish trend. Sustaining this breakout suggests confidence among traders and a belief that current price strength could continue. Analysts monitoring chart patterns and volume indicators point to additional upside potential, though short-term pullbacks remain possible in such volatile conditions.

External Drivers: Global Economy Adds to the Rally

From rising geopolitical tensions to industrial demand in sectors like electronics and solar energy, a range of international variables can affect price movement. Investors should consider not only U.S. monetary policy and inflation figures but also worldwide economic conditions and supply-demand trends when evaluating silver’s investment outlook.

Investment Options for Silver Exposure

In light of silver’s recent performance, investors have a few different avenues to consider. These include purchasing physical silver in the form of bars or coins, investing in shares of silver mining companies, or trading silver-related ETFs. Each method offers its own advantages and risks, depending on an investor’s strategy, risk appetite, and market outlook.

Conclusion

The recent breakout in silver prices reflects a complex blend of economic concerns, including persistent inflation and likely interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. These elements have significantly boosted silver’s appeal as both a hedge and a strategic investment. As financial markets respond to upcoming CPI data releases and central bank signals, silver may continue to serve as a key barometer of broader economic sentiment and investor caution.

 

 

 

 

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The Future of Bond Yields: Insights on RBI’s Recent Rate Cut and Buyback

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Gold, Silver Surge to Record Highs on MCX Amid Tariff Jitters, Fed Rate Cut Buzz
Market News - June 7, 2025

Silver Surges to Historic Rs 1.07 Lakh/kg, Gold Nears Record Highs: What’s Driving India’s Bullion Boom?

Silver Surges to Historic Rs 1.07 Lakh/kg, Gold Nears Record Highs: What’s Driving India’s Bullion Boom?

 

A deep dive into the forces behind the unprecedented rise in silver and gold prices, investor sentiment, and what the future holds for precious metals in India.

Introduction
The Indian bullion market is experiencing a notable upswing, as silver prices surpass Rs 1.07 lakh per kilogram and gold approaches its all-time peak.
These movements have caught the attention of investors, traders, and households alike, as precious metals continue to serve as safe-haven assets amid global economic turbulence.

Silver’s Meteoric Rise: Breaking Records
Silver’s ascent has been nothing short of spectacular. On June 6, 2025, silver prices in India soared to Rs 1,07,000 per kilogram, marking a jump of Rs 3,000 in just one day and setting a new all-time high. This surge is echoed across all quantities, with per gram rates climbing from Rs 104 to Rs 107 in 24 hours. The rally is attributed to a combination of robust global market trends and a weakening rupee, which has made silver imports more expensive and pushed domestic prices higher.
Key Silver Price Milestones (June 2025):
• June 3: Silver at Rs 1,00,560/kg
• June 5: Silver at Rs 1,04,100/kg
• June 6: Silver at Rs 1,07,000/kg
The sharp rise in silver prices has been felt across major Indian cities, with Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata, and Chennai all reporting rates above Rs 1,01,000 per kilogram as early as June 5.

Gold: Steady Gains, Nearing Historic Highs
Gold has also experienced a strong upward trajectory, though its pace has been steadier compared to silver. During the first week of June, gold prices in India surged by Rs 22,900 per 100 grams, pushing 24-carat gold to Rs 99,610 per 10 grams as of June 5—just a few hundred rupees below its record peak of Rs 1,01,350.
On June 6, gold prices remained steady after a week of consistent gains, with 24-carat gold priced at Rs 9,960 per gram and 22-carat gold at Rs 9,130 per gram. The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) reflected similar trends, with gold futures trading at Rs 98,075 per 10 grams, up by Rs 201 from the previous session.
Recent Gold Price Movements:
• June 2-5: 24-carat gold rises by Rs 22,900 per 100 grams
• June 6: 24-carat gold valued at Rs 99,600 for every 10 grams
• MCX futures at Rs 98,075 per 10 grams

What’s Fueling the Surge?
Several factors are converging to drive this unprecedented rally in precious metals:
• Global Economic Uncertainty: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and concerns over global economic growth have pushed investors towards safe-haven assets like gold and silver.
• Currency Fluctuations: The weakening of the Indian rupee against the US dollar has made imports of gold and silver more expensive, directly impacting domestic prices.
• Festive and Industrial Demand: The approach of Bakrid and other festive occasions has boosted gold demand in India, while silver’s industrial applications continue to support its price.
• Speculation and Hedging: The gap between spot and futures prices on the MCX indicates active speculation and hedging in the market, further fueling volatility and upward momentum.

Investor Sentiment and Outlook
The ongoing surge in gold and silver prices has sparked a mix of enthusiasm and prudence among investors.
While the upward momentum offers attractive returns, the volatility and high price levels also raise concerns about potential corrections. Analysts suggest that as long as global uncertainties persist and the rupee remains under pressure, precious metals will continue to attract strong demand.
For those considering entry, experts recommend a cautious approach—monitoring global cues, currency trends, and domestic demand patterns before making significant investments.

Conclusion
The Indian bullion market is in the midst of a historic surge, with silver breaking all records and gold standing on the threshold of new highs. Driven by global uncertainty, currency movements, and robust demand, these trends underscore the enduring appeal of precious metals as both a store of value and a hedge against volatility. Investors should stay informed and weigh their options carefully as the market navigates this extraordinary phase.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Oil and Natural Gas Prices Steady Amid Supply Concerns and Technical Breakouts

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Market News - June 5, 2025

Trade Uncertainty Drives Gold Prices Near Resistance

Trade Uncertainty Drives Gold Prices Near Resistance

Market Seeks Safe Investments as U.S.-China Tensions Rise

Gold has seen sharp fluctuations in price over the past several months, largely due to rising uncertainty between the United States and China. As of early June 2025, the spot price of gold is hovering around \$3,372.91 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures are priced slightly lower at \$3,396.60. This increase shows that investors are leaning toward gold as a protective asset during times of political and financial instability.

Effects of U.S.-China Trade Disputes

The escalating conflict over trade policies between China and the U.S. has heightened fears of global economic instability. New tariffs placed by the U.S. on Chinese imports, followed by China’s own retaliatory measures, have disrupted international commerce. These developments have made markets jittery and pushed investors toward gold, a traditional hedge against uncertainty during unstable times.

Market Trends and Economic Signals

Although geopolitical issues are front and center, economic signals have painted a mixed picture. April’s U.S. job data showed modest growth in employment opportunities, easing fears of an immediate downturn. These contrasting figures have added to the volatility, making gold more attractive as a low-risk investment.

Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy

The Federal Reserve’s current policy stance has also had a notable impact on the gold market. Officials from the central bank have publicly voiced concern over the effects of ongoing trade conflicts on inflation and national growth. Their wait-and-see attitude on adjusting interest rates has worked in gold’s favor. Since gold does not yield interest, lower rates improve its appeal by reducing the comparative cost of holding it.

Price Barriers and Technical Outlook

From a chart analysis perspective, gold is encountering a significant resistance point near \$3,392.31. If this level is breached, it could confirm a strong bullish trend and possibly pave the way for new highs. On the other hand, if the price struggles to move beyond this resistance, a temporary correction or sideways movement might follow—depending on how trade talks and key data unfold in the near term.

Broader Global Concerns and Central Banks’ Role

Aside from the bilateral tensions between the U.S. and China, other worldwide economic issues are also affecting gold’s performance. The OECD recently expressed concern about a potential slowdown in global growth due to trade policies. Meanwhile, several central banks across the globe are adjusting their monetary policies to counter domestic challenges, which in turn affects currency stability.

Future Outlook for Gold

The path gold will take going forward will be closely linked to the evolution of U.S.-China negotiations, the release of economic reports, and decisions from major central banks. Should diplomatic relations worsen or financial indicators show more weakness, gold may continue its upward trend. Alternatively, any breakthroughs in trade discussions or stronger-than-expected economic data might curb the metal’s momentum.

Conclusion

Gold’s recent price behavior underscores its role as a reliable investment during uncertain times. The \$3,392.31 level represents a critical price point that traders are watching closely. With international trade still in flux and economic pressures mounting, gold is likely to remain a preferred option for cautious investors. Ongoing developments in global politics and monetary policy will ultimately determine whether gold breaks past current limits or faces a pullback.

Summary

Rising trade friction between the United States and China has caused gold prices to approach a crucial resistance point. Investor concern over economic growth, influenced by weakening data and central bank policies, has driven increased demand for gold as a safe asset. While gold remains strong near \$3,392.31, its future movement depends on diplomatic talks and financial conditions globally.

 

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REC Board Greenlights ₹1.55 Lakh Crore Bond Fund!

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