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Why gold funds saw a record weekly inflow — and what it signals for Indian investors

Gold Gains Buying Opportunity as GST Reform Announcements Drive Over 1% Dip

Gold Gains Buying Opportunity as GST Reform Announcements Drive Over 1% Dip

Gold prices dropped sharply by over 1% as investor risk appetite surged following significant GST reform announcements, signaling dynamic market responses ahead of the festive season.

Introduction
Gold prices in India witnessed a notable decline of over 1% on September 4, 2025, driven by increased investor confidence after the government announced wide-ranging Goods and Services Tax (GST) reforms. The GST Council’s decision to rationalize tax slabs and cuts in GST rates on various essential commodities has positively impacted market sentiment, encouraging investments in riskier assets and dampening the appeal for traditional safe havens like gold. This article explores the key changes in gold price dynamics, details of the GST reforms, and what this means for consumers and investors in the short to medium term.

Gold Price Movement and Market Response
On the morning of September 4, gold prices in major Indian cities saw sharp declines. In Delhi, the price for 24-carat gold fell to ₹1,07,000 per 10 grams, and 22-carat gold dropped to ₹98,100, reflecting a dip exceeding 1% compared to previous levels. Similarly, Mumbai, Bangalore, and other metros reported price drops aligned with this trend.
This fall is largely attributed to a surge in risk appetite as investors responded optimistically to the GST Council’s announcements. Market analysts noted that investors are now increasingly channeling funds into equities and other growth-oriented sectors, reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven investment in the immediate term.

Overview of GST Reforms Impacting Market Sentiment
The 56th GST Council meeting, held on September 3, 2025, ushered in a historic reform package dubbed “GST 2.0” that simplifies India’s indirect tax regime. The major highlights include:
• Abolition of the 12% and 28% tax slabs, consolidating GST into two main slabs: 5% and 18% for most goods.
• Introduction of a new 40% slab on sin and luxury goods, including betting, casinos, and large sporting events.
• Cuts in GST rates on everyday goods like hair oil, soaps, toothpaste, kitchenware, and essential food products.
• Exemption of Ultra High Temperature (UHT) milk, paneer, and Indian breads from GST.
• Reduction in GST rates on critical construction materials like cement and steel from 28% to 18%, a move expected to boost the housing and infrastructure sectors.
India’s Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, stated these reforms aim to reduce the tax burden on the common man and stimulate consumption amid evolving economic challenges. The reforms will take effect from September 22, coinciding with the festive season, further boosting consumer demand prospects.

Why GST Reforms Triggered Gold Price Decline
Gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, often inversely correlates with market risk appetite. When economic reforms improve growth prospects and consumption outlook, investors tend to seek higher returns in equities and businesses, reducing gold’s allure as a defensive holding.
The announcement of GST rationalization and tax cuts has heightened optimism about India’s economic recovery and corporate profitability. Since gold prices indirectly respond to sentiment and macroeconomic factors, the improved growth outlook has dampened demand for gold, leading to today’s price slide
Furthermore, gold imports face a steady 3% GST and 5% making charges, a structure maintained by the GST Council’s decision, which continues to impose a moderate tax burden on gold purchases. This tax clarity benefits traders but does not shield prices from global and domestic volatility shaped by regulatory and market dynamics.

Impact on Consumers and the Jewelry Market
The GST decisions provide clarity and relief for jewelers by keeping GST on gold and silver at 3%, with 5% GST on making charges, stabilizing the supply chain ahead of the festival season. Lower tax rates on associated goods and eased compliance requirements foster a stable environment for the precious metals market.
Consumers may experience slight price volatility in gold over the short term but should expect the reforms to boost overall buying power and consumption. The timing before festivals creates a conducive environment for gold purchases as lower taxes on daily essentials enhance disposable incomes.

Broader Economic Implications
GST reforms represent a significant push towards formalizing and simplifying India’s indirect tax structure, directly impacting consumption demand across segments. Experts suggest the reforms will stimulate GDP growth above 8% by enhancing purchasing power and lowering costs for many goods.
The construction and automobile sectors benefit from reduced GST rates, potentially driving higher demand and economic multiplier effects. As consumption improves and market confidence rises, gold’s role as a hedge may diminish temporarily in favor of growth-linked assets.

Conclusion
The over 1% decline in gold prices on September 4, 2025, is a direct market reaction to sweeping GST reforms announced by the government. By streamlining tax slabs and cutting rates on essentials, the reforms have improved market sentiment and risk appetite, steering investments towards growth assets and away from gold’s safe haven status. Consumers and investors stand to benefit from increased clarity and enhanced purchasing power as the new GST regime rolls out with the festive season, promising stronger economic activity and a dynamic consumer market ahead.

 

 

 

The image added is for representation purposes only

GST Tax Rate Reform – September 2025

Gold Prices Plunge as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Triggers Market Volatility

Gold Prices Plunge as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Triggers Market Volatility

Gold Prices Plunge as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Triggers Market Volatility

After weeks of geopolitical tension, gold rates on MCX and global exchanges witness a dramatic fall as the Israel-Iran ceasefire shifts investor sentiment.

Summary
Gold prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) in India and global markets have dropped sharply—over ₹2,600 per 10 grams in India—following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The sudden easing of geopolitical tensions has reduced safe-haven demand, leading to profit booking and a risk-on shift in global financial markets.

Introduction
For months, gold has been on a rollercoaster, driven by global uncertainties, especially in the Middle East. The recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, brokered by the United States, has dramatically altered the landscape. As investors recalibrate their strategies, gold—long considered a safe haven during crises—has seen its prices tumble, both in India and worldwide.

Ceasefire Announcement: A Turning Point for Gold
On June 24, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Israel and Iran had agreed to a ceasefire, effectively ending nearly two weeks of escalating conflict that had rattled global markets. The news was swiftly confirmed by both Israeli and Iranian officials, although some skepticism remains about the long-term stability of the truce.
The immediate market reaction was profound:
• MCX gold futures plunged by nearly 3%, hitting an intraday low of ₹96,422 per 10 grams.
• International spot gold fell over 2% to around $3,320–$3,330 an ounce, reaching its lowest level since early June.
This sharp correction came after gold had surged to record highs in April, fueled by fears of a broader regional conflict and safe-haven buying.

Why Did Gold Prices Fall So Sharply?
1. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand
Gold thrives during uncertainty. With the ceasefire easing immediate fears of war, investors shifted capital from gold into riskier assets like equities, which rallied worldwide. Oil prices also dropped, further signaling a return to risk-on sentiment.
2. Profit Booking After a Rally
Leading up to the ceasefire, gold had benefited from safe-haven flows. The sudden resolution prompted many investors to lock in profits, accelerating the decline in prices.
3. Dollar and Rate Cut Speculation
A weaker U.S. dollar typically supports gold, but this time, the focus shifted to upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve moves. While Fed officials hinted at possible rate cuts due to softening job markets and consumer confidence, the immediate impact of the ceasefire overshadowed these factors, at least temporarily.

Market Reactions: MCX and Global Trends
India: MCX Gold Futures
• Prices dropped by over ₹2,600 per 10 grams, with August futures hitting lows not seen in weeks.
• Silver also declined, though to a lesser extent, reflecting the broader pullback in precious metals.
• The previous session had seen gains on the back of U.S. strikes in Iran, but the ceasefire reversed those moves almost instantly.
Global Markets
• Spot gold saw a decline of up to 2%, eventually leveling off near $3,325 per ounce after the initial drop.
• U.S. gold futures mirrored this trend, closing down 1.3% on Tuesday and trading little changed in early Asian hours.
• Global equities surged, and oil prices fell, as the risk premium associated with Middle East tensions evaporated.

Expert Views: What’s Next for Gold?
Commodity analysts suggest that while the immediate risk premium has faded, the underlying support for gold remains intact due to ongoing economic uncertainties and the potential for renewed geopolitical flare-ups. Central banks continue to increase their gold reserves, and expectations for U.S. rate cuts later in the year could provide a floor for prices.
Kaynat Chainwala of Kotak Securities notes that gold’s rally in 2024 was largely risk-driven, and with the ceasefire, downward pressure may persist in the near term. However, any signs of renewed conflict or economic instability could quickly restore gold’s appeal.

Should Investors Buy the Dip?
The latest pullback has raised speculation about a potential buying window.
Short-term: Gold could stay subdued as investors absorb the impact of the ceasefire and turn their attention to upcoming economic indicators and central bank decisions.
• Long-term: If inflation, economic uncertainty, or geopolitical tensions resurface, gold’s intrinsic value as a hedge could drive another rally.
Investors with a long-term horizon may consider gradual accumulation, while those seeking quick gains should be mindful of continued volatility.

Conclusion
The Israel-Iran ceasefire has dramatically altered the gold market’s trajectory, triggering a sharp correction as safe-haven demand evaporates. While the immediate outlook suggests further consolidation, gold’s enduring role as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty remains unchallenged. As always, prudent investors should balance short-term market moves with long-term fundamentals.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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The image added is for representation purposes only

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Gold Prices Plunge as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Triggers Market Volatility

Gold Prices Dip in Kerala After Record Highs: What’s Driving the Correction?

Gold Prices Dip in Kerala After Record Highs: What’s Driving the Correction?

After surging to unprecedented levels, gold prices in Kerala have taken a step back, reflecting global market volatility, profit-booking, and geopolitical uncertainties.

Introduction
Kerala, renowned for its deep-rooted affinity for gold, witnessed a dramatic surge in gold prices in the first half of June 2025. Prices reached historic highs, only to see a swift correction as global market dynamics shifted. This article delves into the recent price action, the factors influencing the correction, and what lies ahead for gold buyers and investors in the state.

Gold Price Milestones in June 2025
• Record Highs:
On June 14 and 15, 2025, gold prices in Kerala peaked at ₹74,560 per sovereign (8 grams) and ₹9,320 per gram for 22-carat gold, marking the highest levels ever recorded in the state.
• Recent Correction:
By June 16, prices fell by ₹120 per sovereign, settling at ₹74,440, while the per-gram rate dropped by ₹15 to ₹9,305 for 22-carat gold. The downward trend continued into June 17, with 22-carat gold at ₹9,304 per gram and 24-carat at ₹10,150 per gram.
• Short-Term Trend:
The price movement over the past week reflects a mild bearishness after a sharp rally, mirroring corrections seen in international bullion markets.

Key Factors Behind the Price Drop
1. Global Profit-Booking
A significant contributor to the recent decline has been profit-booking by international traders. After gold hit record highs, many investors chose to cash in on their gains, leading to a pullback in global prices that quickly filtered down to local markets in Kerala.
2. International Market Volatility
The international price of gold dipped to $3,414.32 per ounce as per recent Reuters data, reflecting a broader trend of volatility in global bullion trading. This has a direct impact on domestic prices, given gold’s status as a globally traded commodity.
3. Geopolitical Tensions
Ongoing tensions in West Asia, particularly between Iran and Israel, have played a dual role. Initially, they drove prices higher as investors sought safe-haven assets. However, as the situation stabilized or as traders locked in profits, prices corrected downward. The geopolitical risk premium remains a key variable for gold prices going forward.
4. US Federal Reserve Policy Uncertainty
There is lingering uncertainty regarding the US central bank’s next move—whether to cut interest rates or maintain a pause. Lower rates typically make gold more attractive compared to bonds, supporting higher prices. Any signals from the Fed could trigger further swings in gold prices globally and in Kerala.

Current Gold Prices in Kerala
Gold prices showed slight fluctuations over the past few days. On June 14–15, 22K gold was priced at ₹9,320 per gram and 24K at ₹10,168 per gram, with one sovereign (8g of 22K) costing ₹74,560. On June 16, prices dipped slightly, with 22K gold at ₹9,305 and 24K at ₹10,151, bringing the sovereign price down to ₹74,440. The downward trend continued marginally on June 17, as 22K gold was priced at ₹9,304 per gram and 24K at ₹10,150, with the sovereign rate dropping to ₹74,432.

Historical Perspective and Consumer Sentiment
Kerala’s gold price history is marked by periodic surges, often driven by global events and local demand spikes during festivals and weddings. The recent correction is seen as a healthy pause, allowing buyers who missed out during the rally to reconsider their purchases. Local jewellers report steady footfall, with some consumers waiting for further dips before making large purchases.

Outlook: What’s Next for Gold in Kerala?
• Short-Term:
The market is expected to remain volatile, with prices sensitive to global economic data, central bank decisions, and geopolitical developments.
• Medium-Term:
If the US Federal Reserve signals a rate cut or if geopolitical tensions flare up again, gold could find renewed support. Conversely, easing tensions and stronger equity markets may keep gold prices in check.
• Long-Term:
Kerala’s cultural affinity for gold and its role as a hedge against inflation and uncertainty suggest that demand will remain resilient, even as prices fluctuate.

Conclusion
The recent fall in gold prices in Kerala after reaching record highs is a reminder of the metal’s sensitivity to global events and market psychology. While the correction offers relief to prospective buyers, the underlying drivers—geopolitical risks, central bank policies, and investor sentiment—will continue to shape the market in the days ahead. For Kerala’s gold-loving public, the message is clear: stay informed, watch the trends, and seize opportunities as they arise.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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