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Jio’s Giant Leap: Reliance Confirms IPO in Early 2026

Reliance Industries Surges 18% YTD: Brokerages See More Upside Ahead

Reliance Industries Surges 18% YTD: Brokerages See More Upside Ahead

Strong performance in the retail and telecom segments, focused strategic restructuring, and solid financial health are fueling positive sentiment, with Bernstein, JP Morgan, and Jefferies forecasting additional upside for Reliance Industries in 2025.

Introduction
Reliance Industries has posted an impressive 18% year-to-date (YTD) gain in 2025, outpacing the Nifty 50 and attracting bullish forecasts from leading brokerages. Bernstein and JP Morgan have increased their target prices, while Jefferies maintains a bullish stance even after a minor downward revision.
The company’s performance is underpinned by strong growth in its retail and telecom arms, a focus on quality expansion, and improving cash flows. Analysts see further upside, with valuations still below historical averages and new growth drivers emerging.

Reliance’s 2025 Rally: A Closer Look
Reliance Industries Limited (RIL), India’s largest conglomerate, has captured market attention with an 18% rise in its share price so far in 2025. This performance not only outpaces the Nifty 50 benchmark but also marks a return to growth leadership among large-cap Indian stocks. The rally has been powered by a combination of operational excellence, strategic shifts, and renewed optimism from global and domestic investors.
Key Financial Highlights
• Q4 FY25 Revenue: ₹2.69 lakh crore, up 9.9% YoY
• Q4 FY25 Profit After Tax: ₹22,434 crore, up 6.1% YoY
• FY2025 Total Revenue: ₹9.98 lakh cr, which is up 7.3% YoY
• FY25 PAT: ₹80,787 crore, up 2.7% YoY
• Market Cap: ₹19.5 lakh crore (approx.)
• Dividend to be: ₹5.5 per share for FY2025
The company’s retail and digital services divisions now contribute over half of consolidated EBITDA, reflecting a successful diversification away from its traditional oil-to-chemicals (O2C) business.

Brokerages Turn Bullish: Target Price Upgrades
Bernstein: Growth Momentum and Attractive Valuations
Bernstein has upgraded its target price for Reliance to ₹1,640, implying a 15% upside from current levels. The brokerage highlights:
• Retail segment restructuring concluded with the closure of more than 2,100 low-performing stores in FY25, setting the stage for more sustainable, quality-focused expansion.
• Strengthening momentum in telecom, with anticipated ARPU (average revenue per user) hikes and accelerated rollout of Jio AirFiber and broadband services.
• Moderating capital expenditure and stable net debt, improving the company’s risk-reward profile.
• Reliance is presently valued at a 15% discount compared to its three-year average EV/EBITDA, enhancing its appeal given the company’s strong growth prospects.

JP Morgan: New Growth Cycle
JP Morgan has also increased its price target, highlighting the beginning of a “fresh growth phase” for Reliance. brokerage expects retail and telecom to account for nearly all net EBITDA growth over the next three years, with robust free cash flow generation even as the company invests in new energy, retail, and petrochemicals.

Jefferies: Positive Despite Minor Trim
Jefferies continues to rate the stock as a ‘Buy’, though it has marginally lowered its target price to ₹1,650 per share. The brokerage notes:
• Clear growth trajectory, particularly in retail—supported by rising same-store sales and the scaling of quick commerce—and in telecom, where Jio is expected to deliver an 18% revenue CAGR and 21% EBITDA CAGR between FY25 and FY27.
• A favorable pricing environment in telecom and a recovery in O2C margins, aided by global refinery closures and improving petchem spreads.
• A potential tenfold increase in free cash flows over the next two years, as capital expenditure moderates.
• The telecom sector, led by Jio, as the best vehicle to capture India’s consumption boom.
However, Jefferies also outlines downside risks, including lower-than-expected telecom ARPU, slower recovery in China affecting refining margins, or elevated cash burn in e-commerce ventures. Under its base case scenario, the brokerage continues to anticipate a 16% potential upside.

Strategic Shifts: Quality Over Quantity
A major driver of renewed optimism is Reliance’s strategic pivot from aggressive expansion to quality growth, especially in retail. After closing underperforming stores, the company is now focusing on profitable expansion and operational efficiency. In telecom, Jio continues to lead with network upgrades and new service launches, while the O2C segment is benefiting from favorable global supply-demand dynamics.
Reliance’s foray into new energy and quick commerce is also gaining traction, positioning the company for future growth in emerging sectors.

Market Sentiment and Analyst Consensus
Analyst sentiment remains strongly positive, with over 91% of analysts recommending a ‘Buy’ and an average target price around ₹1,564.74. Technical indicators also support a bullish outlook, with the stock forecasted to reach as high as ₹1,591.73 by the end of 2025.
Despite recent short-term volatility—attributable to global market jitters and profit booking—Reliance’s fundamentals remain robust. Its consistent profitability, leadership in key sectors, and strategic investments underpin its long-term appeal.

Conclusion
Reliance Industries’ 18% year-to-date rally in 2025 is driven by robust operational performance, strategic restructuring, and a resurgence in investor sentiment.
With major brokerages forecasting further upside, the company stands at the forefront of India’s consumption and technology-driven growth story. While risks remain, the balance of evidence suggests that Reliance’s disciplined approach to expansion, focus on high-growth segments, and improving financial metrics make it a compelling bet for the future.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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BSE Shares Slide Over 1.5% Despite Stellar Earnings and Bullish Sentiment

BSE Shares Slide Over 1.5% Despite Stellar Earnings and Bullish Sentiment

BSE stock slips despite strong FY25 earnings, as heavy trading activity and investor reactions spark short-term market volatility.

Stock Dips Amid Heavy Trading Activity

BSE Limited saw its shares decline by over 1.5% during the trading session today, drawing investor attention amid heightened activity in the mid-cap space. The stock touched an intraday low of ₹2,711 before recovering slightly to trade around ₹2,734.30 by the end of the session. What stood out was the significantly high trading volume, suggesting active participation from both institutional and retail investors. Despite the mild dip in price, the surge in trading points to a strong interest in the stock, which remains a part of the NIFTY MIDCAP 150 index.

Such movements often indicate short-term corrections in an otherwise bullish scenario, especially for companies like BSE Limited that are backed by strong fundamentals and recent growth momentum.

Strong Quarterly and Annual Performance

The March 2025 quarter results showcase BSE Limited’s strong upward momentum in financial performance. Revenue for the quarter came in at ₹916.97 crore, marking a significant leap from ₹544.77 crore reported in the same quarter the previous year. Net profit mirrored this growth, soaring to ₹478.04 crore from ₹82.49 crore year-on-year. The company’s earnings per share also saw a dramatic jump, increasing from ₹7.79 in March 2024 to ₹36.00 in March 2025, reflecting a sharp improvement in profitability.

Looking at its annual performance, the company has witnessed remarkable growth over the past five years. Revenue surged from ₹501.37 crore in FY21 to ₹3,212.04 crore in FY25, underscoring BSE’s expansion into new revenue-generating avenues and the deepening of its core operations. Similarly, net profit grew significantly during this period, rising from ₹98.55 crore in FY21 to ₹1,239.73 crore by the end of FY25. Correspondingly, the earnings per share improved from ₹30.94 to ₹96.55 over these five years, reinforcing BSE’s growing ability to create value for shareholders.

Cash Flow Patterns Reveal Long-Term Investment Push

Despite the impressive earnings, the company’s cash flow statement for FY25 reflects a considerable cash outflow, primarily driven by investments. BSE generated ₹410 crore from operating activities, a healthy sign that core operations are producing sufficient cash. However, a significant outflow of ₹767 crore in investing activities points to aggressive capital deployment—possibly toward technology upgrades, infrastructure, or strategic initiatives. Financing activities also contributed to the outflow with ₹205 crore, leading to a net cash position of negative ₹550 crore for the year.

This pattern suggests that BSE is not only content with its current performance but is also laying down the groundwork for future growth. While a negative net cash flow may raise short-term concerns, it often signals expansion and modernization in the long run, particularly when supported by solid operating income.

Improving Financial Metrics Reflect a Healthy Balance Sheet

BSE’s key financial ratios over the years tell a story of steady and sustained improvement. The company’s earnings per share, which was ₹30.94 in FY21, dipped temporarily in the next two years but rebounded strongly to ₹56.66 in FY24 and then to ₹96.55 in FY25. Book value per share has also increased from ₹559.09 in FY21 to ₹326.84 in FY25, showing consistent shareholder value creation.

Return on equity has notably improved, moving from 5.81% in FY21 to 29.97% in FY25. This rise demonstrates the company’s increased efficiency in generating profits from its equity base. Also noteworthy is that BSE has maintained a zero debt-to-equity ratio throughout this period, indicating a conservative and stable financial approach. This absence of debt provides the firm with more flexibility to manage its capital and explore growth opportunities without financial strain.

Sentiment Remains Bullish Despite Price Dip

While the stock has faced a minor correction today, the broader market sentiment surrounding BSE Limited remains highly positive. Analysts and investors continue to show faith in the company’s growth story, particularly in light of its exceptional earnings and prudent capital structure. The heightened trading volume during today’s decline is being interpreted as profit-booking by some investors, rather than a shift in long-term outlook.

The bullish sentiment is further supported by the company’s consistent expansion in earnings and revenue, along with proactive investment in its operational capabilities. These fundamentals continue to appeal to investors seeking long-term value, even amid short-term market jitters.

Final Thoughts

BSE Limited’s stock may have dipped slightly during today’s session, but the bigger picture tells a different story—one of strong growth, solid earnings, and long-term potential. The company’s impressive revenue and profit surge in FY25, combined with a debt-free balance sheet and healthy return ratios, paint a reassuring image for investors.

While the net cash flow for the year was negative due to substantial investments, this should be viewed as a forward-looking move aimed at bolstering the company’s future competitiveness. The dip in share price, when seen in context with the high trading volume and strong fundamentals, could very well present a buying opportunity for investors with a long-term horizon. As BSE continues to innovate and grow within India’s dynamic capital markets landscape, it remains a stock worth watching closely.

 

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Man Infraconstruction Reports Strong Q4 FY25 Profit, Declares Dividend Amid Strategic Acquisition

Man Infraconstruction Reports Strong Q4 FY25 Profit, Declares Dividend Amid Strategic Acquisition

Man Infraconstruction Limited (MICL), a leading name in India’s construction and real estate sector, has posted a robust financial performance for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company announced a substantial increase in its consolidated net profit, alongside a shareholder-friendly dividend declaration. Adding to its positive momentum, MICL has made a strategic acquisition to expand its footprint in the international real estate market.

Impressive Profit Growth in Q4 FY25

For the quarter ending March 31, 2025, Man Infraconstruction posted a consolidated net profit of ₹97.15 crore. This marks a remarkable 50% increase compared to ₹64.65 crore recorded in the same quarter the previous year. The company’s ability to enhance profitability despite a slight dip in revenue demonstrates effective cost management and operational efficiency.

Revenue from operations reached ₹293.79 crore, slightly lower than the ₹296.74 crore reported in Q4 FY24. However, the decline in revenue was offset by a significant reduction in expenses, which decreased from ₹261 crore in the previous year to ₹194.8 crore in the latest quarter. This careful management of expenses significantly boosted the company’s profitability.

The strong performance indicates MICL’s resilient business model and its capacity to adapt amid fluctuating market conditions. Despite challenges faced in the construction industry such as raw material price volatility and supply chain disruptions, the company managed to sustain profitability growth.

Dividend Declaration: Rewarding Shareholders

In line with its commitment to shareholder returns, Man Infraconstruction declared a first interim dividend of ₹0.45 per equity share for the quarter. This dividend payout amounts to 22.5% of the ₹2 face value per share.The company will declare the record date soon, which will identify the shareholders entitled to receive the dividend.

The dividend announcement is a positive signal to investors, reaffirming MICL’s focus on delivering consistent value even as it invests in growth opportunities. Regular dividend payouts also reflect the company’s strong cash flow position and confidence in its future prospects.

Strategic Acquisition to Boost Global Presence

A significant highlight of the quarter was MICL’s strategic move to expand internationally through its wholly-owned subsidiary, MICL Global, Inc. On May 27, 2025, the subsidiary acquired an additional 25% membership interest in MICL TIGERTAIL LLC, a Miami-based real estate entity focused on property development and related activities.

The acquisition, valued at $1 million, strengthens MICL’s presence in the U.S. real estate market. Founded in June 2024, MICL TIGERTAIL LLC plays a vital role in the company’s strategy for international growth. By increasing its stake, MICL aims to leverage growth opportunities in the U.S. while diversifying its revenue streams.

This move aligns with the company’s long-term vision of becoming a global real estate player. Expanding overseas provides MICL with access to new markets, customer bases, and project pipelines, thereby enhancing its growth potential and competitive positioning.

Positive Market Response

Following the announcement of the robust quarterly results, dividend declaration, and acquisition update, Man Infraconstruction’s shares responded positively. On May 28, 2025, the stock opened at ₹161.45 and touched an intraday high of ₹165.24, marking a 3.1% gain.

This upward movement came despite relatively flat broader market trends, indicating investor confidence in the company’s strategic direction and financial health. The acquisition news, in particular, was welcomed as a forward-looking step to boost growth and shareholder value.

Industry Outlook and Future Prospects

The construction and real estate industry in India continues to be a key growth driver for the economy, supported by urbanization, infrastructure development, and rising demand for residential and commercial properties. However, companies in the sector face headwinds from fluctuating input costs, regulatory changes, and economic uncertainties.

Man Infraconstruction’s Q4 performance reflects its ability to navigate these challenges effectively. With a focus on cost optimization, project execution excellence, and strategic investments, MICL is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

The company’s international expansion through MICL Global and MICL TIGERTAIL LLC adds a new dimension to its growth story. Exposure to the U.S. market not only diversifies risks but also brings in global best practices and potential for higher margins.

Commitment to Sustainable Growth

Sustainability and corporate governance are increasingly important in the real estate and construction sectors. Man Infraconstruction emphasizes responsible business practices, environmental stewardship, and social responsibility as part of its growth strategy.

By integrating sustainable building techniques and adopting innovative technologies, the company aims to minimize environmental impact while delivering quality projects. This approach resonates with modern customers and investors who value transparency and ethical standards.

Conclusion

Man Infraconstruction’s Q4 FY25 results underscore a strong financial performance marked by a 50% profit increase, effective cost management, and a generous interim dividend. Coupled with a strategic acquisition to expand its international real estate presence, MICL demonstrates both resilience and ambition.

As the company continues to invest in growth avenues and reward shareholders, it is poised for sustained success amid evolving industry dynamics. Investors and market watchers will be keenly observing MICL’s journey as it strengthens its position in India and abroad.

 

 

 

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Despite Steep Profit Drop in Q4 FY25, 3M India Declares Substantial Dividend

Welspun Enterprises Q4 FY25 Earnings: Net Profit Surges by 30%

Welspun Enterprises Q4 FY25 Earnings: Net Profit Surges by 30%

Welspun Enterprises Q4 FY25 Earnings: Net Profit Surges by 30%

 

Robust Revenue Growth, Margin Expansion, and a ₹3 Dividend Highlight a Strong Quarter for Infrastructure Major

Financial Performance: A Record-Setting Quarter

Welspun Enterprises, a key player in India’s infrastructure sector, reported consolidated net profit of ₹100.3 crore for the quarter ended March 2025, marking a 30% year-on-year increase. Certain reports estimated the profit increase to be as much as 36%, with net earnings climbing to ₹105.49 crore.
This robust profit growth was underpinned by a sharp rise in revenue, which climbed 24% to ₹1,021.5 crore, up from ₹823 crore in the same period last year.
During FY25, net profit climbed to ₹353.83 crore, compared to ₹319.40 crore in FY24, with total revenue rising to ₹3,792.59 crore from ₹3,063.31 crore the previous year.
This consistent growth highlights the company’s ability to execute projects efficiently and capitalize on opportunities in its core segments.

Operational Highlights: Margin Expansion and Segment Growth

Welspun Enterprises’ operating performance was equally impressive. EBITDA surged 35% year-over-year, reaching ₹152.62 crore, with operating margins increasing to 14.94% compared to 13.74% in the same quarter last year.
This margin expansion reflects the company’s focus on cost optimization and operational efficiency, even as it scales up its project portfolio.
The infrastructure major continues to concentrate on water, wastewater, and transport projects, which remain the backbone of its order book and revenue streams. The company’s ability to deliver on large-scale projects in these segments has been a key driver of its sustained growth.

Dividend Announcement: Rewarding Shareholders

For the fiscal year 2025, Welspun Enterprises’ board has put forward a proposal to distribute a final dividend of ₹3 on each equity share worth ₹10.
The record date for the dividend has been set as July 4, 2025, and the payout is subject to shareholder approval at the upcoming annual general meeting. This dividend reflects the company’s strong cash flows and commitment to rewarding shareholders.

Share Price and Market Reaction

Prior to the earnings release, shares of Welspun Enterprises edged up slightly to ₹493.50 on the BSE, reflecting a sense of guarded optimism among market participants.
The strong financial results and dividend declaration are expected to support positive sentiment, although market participants remain attentive to broader sector trends and the company’s future guidance.

Challenges: Rising Interest Costs and Sustainability Concerns

Despite the stellar topline and bottom-line growth, Welspun Enterprises faces some headwinds. Notably, finance costs rose significantly to ₹43.6 crore in Q4 FY25, up from ₹28.4 crore a year earlier. This increase in interest expenses is attributed to higher borrowings as the company ramps up project execution. The sustainability of profit growth is also a point of discussion, as a substantial portion of profit before tax in Q4 was derived from non-operating income-about 35.65%-raising questions about the repeatability of such gains in future quarters.

Analyst Perspective: Growth Amid Complexity

Experts point out that Welspun Enterprises’ Q4 FY25 results highlight the company’s ability to navigate industry headwinds, showcasing solid operational strength and effective project delivery despite challenges such as increased input costs and intense market competition.
The company’s record-high net sales and operating profit in the last five quarters underscore its operational momentum. However, the rising cost of debt and dependence on non-operating income for a significant chunk of profits signal the need for cautious optimism.

Strategic Focus: Infrastructure Leadership

As part of the Welspun World group, Welspun Enterprises has carved out a leadership position in infrastructure development, with a focus on water, wastewater, and transport projects. The company’s robust order book and project pipeline position it well for continued growth, provided it maintains discipline in cost management and capital allocation.

Conclusion

Welspun Enterprises delivered robust financial and operational results in Q4 FY25, marked by significant profit and revenue increases, better margins, and a healthy dividend recommendation.
While rising interest costs and reliance on non-operating income warrant attention, the company’s core business fundamentals remain strong. As it continues to expand its presence in critical infrastructure segments, Welspun Enterprises appears well-placed to deliver value to shareholders and contribute to India’s infrastructure growth story.

 

 

 

 

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Trade Speculation Lifts Sensex by Over 1,200 Points

 

Kotak Mahindra Bank stock slips following Q4 earnings announcement.

Kotak Mahindra Bank stock slips following Q4 earnings announcement.

Kotak Mahindra Bank stock slips following Q4 earnings announcement.

 

 Kotak Mahindra Bank’s Q4 shortfall prompts analyst downgrades, fueling uncertainty over its future performance trajectory.

 Kotak Mahindra Bank Faces a Challenging Quarter

Kotak Mahindra Bank’s financial performance for the fourth quarter of FY2025 came as a surprise to investors, as the bank posted a notable decline in profits, falling short of analysts’ expectations. Following this disappointing result, the bank’s share price plummeted by more than 5%, triggering multiple downgrades from leading brokerages. The primary concerns stemmed from rising credit costs and a weaker loan growth outlook, leading to a re-evaluation of the stock’s investment potential.

Q4 Earnings Fall Short: Key Highlights

Kotak Mahindra Bank reported a 14% drop in standalone net profit for Q4 FY2025, which came in at ₹3,552 crore. Analysts had predicted a higher profit margin, but the actual results were marred by a significant increase in provisions for bad loans. This surge in provisions raised concerns about the bank’s asset quality and its ability to maintain profitability in the near term.
“Higher credit costs, driven by an increase in non-performing assets, have hurt Kotak Mahindra Bank’s earnings this quarter,” said a senior analyst from a leading brokerage firm.
Moreover, the bank’s revenue growth also came in weaker than expected, raising doubts about its ability to deliver strong loan growth going forward. These factors collectively contributed to the negative market reaction.

Analyst Downgrades and Revised Targets

Following Kotak Mahindra Bank’s underwhelming Q4 performance, multiple leading analysts have revised their outlook on the stock, opting for downgrades. Leading brokerages, including BofA Securities, Bernstein, and Nomura India, have revised their target prices for the bank, lowering their expectations based on the weaker outlook for loan growth and rising credit costs.
• BofA Securities lowered its price target for the bank from ₹2,100 to ₹1,900, citing concerns about profitability pressure.
• Bernstein shifted its stance from “Outperform” to “Market Perform,” reflecting a more reserved outlook for the short term.
• Nomura India also revised its price target downward, citing subdued credit growth and rising provisions.
The downgrades reflect widespread skepticism regarding the bank’s ability to maintain strong performance in the face of increasing competition and economic uncertainty.

Rising Credit Costs: A Major Concern

A key concern following Kotak Mahindra Bank’s Q4 results is the rising credit costs, which have been increasing due to a higher provisioning for bad loans. While the bank has managed to maintain a relatively low level of non-performing assets (NPAs) in the past, the surge in provisions suggests that the economic environment is starting to take a toll on asset quality.
“While the bank’s core operations remain robust, the higher-than-expected credit costs are likely to weigh on its profitability in the coming quarters,” noted a senior market strategist.
This is a crucial factor for investors to consider, as it suggests that Kotak Mahindra Bank may face challenges in maintaining its historical profitability, especially if economic conditions worsen or if the bank’s loan book becomes more vulnerable.

Weak Loan Growth Outlook

Another issue highlighted by analysts is the bank’s modest loan growth in the quarter, which has raised concerns about its future prospects. Kotak Mahindra Bank has traditionally relied on strong loan growth to drive its earnings, but with a weaker growth outlook, there are questions about the bank’s ability to sustain its current trajectory.
Analysts believe that the slower loan growth, combined with the rising credit costs, could result in lower-than-expected returns for investors. This is particularly concerning given the competitive nature of India’s banking sector, where other players are aggressively expanding their loan books.

Looking Forward: Can Kotak Mahindra Bank Recover?

While the immediate outlook for Kotak Mahindra Bank seems uncertain, the long-term picture is still relatively positive. The bank has a strong capital base, a diversified portfolio, and a solid reputation for financial discipline. However, it will need to address its rising credit costs and moderate loan growth to regain investor confidence.
Analysts also highlight the importance of macroeconomic factors in shaping the bank’s future performance. A stable economic environment, coupled with effective management of credit risks, could help Kotak Mahindra Bank navigate these challenges and return to growth.

Conclusion: Caution in the Short Term, Potential in the Long Run

In conclusion, Kotak Mahindra Bank’s Q4 earnings miss has sent ripples through the market, with downgrades and revised target prices reflecting a cautious short-term outlook. While credit costs and loan growth remain areas of concern, the bank’s strong fundamentals and management expertise provide a foundation for long-term growth. Investors should carefully monitor the bank’s progress in addressing these challenges and consider the stock’s potential once these issues are mitigated.

 

 

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Rupee Surges to 7-Month High at 83.78/USD Amid Strong Inflows, Trade Optimism