Brent crude fell over 4% in a week amid economic worries; could trade in $98 and $112 range.
Brent crude reported a weekly drop of 4.1% while WTI down by 3.4%, after the first monthly drop since November. Prices fell on Tuesday as Brent’s $10.73 drop was the contract’s third-biggest daily drop since 1988, when it began trading. On 5th July 2022, Brent Crude fell by $10.73, which was the contact’s first monthly drop since November.
Central banks around the world are increasing interest rates to control inflation, raising fears that rising borrowing costs could slowdown growth. While potential lockdown in shanghai due to covid-19 could affect oil demand. The restrictive monetary policy of major economies threatened economic growth. This led to the fall in US oil benchmark, tracking a decline in a commodity markets. There was a rise in oil prices this year by 35%. This is due to the disrupted oil supply due to the war in Ukraine and also the global economic recovery. This also affected the price of natural gas, as it surged upto 17% in US and EU.
An important export route for Kazakh oil is in the risk of being suspended. It demands a Russian court order for it to temporarily shut down. After labour strike ended in Norway, there was a fall in the crude oil prices. The price of natural gas and crude oil also fell as th e Euro record a 20-year low against the US dollar. According to the US non-farm payroll data,in June the economy added more jobs than expected. This is an indication of constant strength of labour market. This gives gives the Federal Reserve ammunition to deliver another 75-basis-point rate hike this month. The US energy firms this week hit the highest since march 2020 by adding two oil rigs, bringing the total to 597. Due to the economic fears the prices of oil fell this week. However, the markets are still indicating bullish signals. The supply tightness is likely to intensify than to ease. The price volatility may continue this week. The western countries has banned oil export from Russia. This have supported prices and sparked a re-routing of flows while the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allied producers struggle to deliver on pledged production increases. In this week the Bent crude could trade could trade in $98 and $112 range. This week the rupee will decide the crude movement. .In the domestic market, crude has very good support at Rs 7970.00, sustaining below this can show Rs 7760, while upsides Rs 8390 and Rs 8550 are acting as a resistance.
