Menu

CentralBanks

RBI's Revised Co-Lending Norms Set to Transform NBFC Growth

Central Banks Accelerate Shift to Gold, Euro, and Yuan as Dollar Dominance Fades

Central Banks Accelerate Shift to Gold, Euro, and Yuan as Dollar Dominance Fades

A historic pivot in global reserve management is underway as central banks worldwide ramp up gold buying and diversify into the euro and Chinese yuan, signaling waning confidence in the U.S. dollar.

Summary
Central banks across the globe are dramatically increasing their gold reserves and exploring greater allocations to the euro and yuan. This strategic shift, driven by geopolitical instability and concerns about the long-term dominance of the U.S. dollar, is reshaping the architecture of international reserves and could have far-reaching implications for global finance.

Introduction
The USD has long maintained its status as the leading reserve currency worldwide. But a major transformation is now in motion. Recent surveys and data reveal that central banks are not only accelerating their gold purchases but are also looking to diversify their reserves with more exposure to the euro and China’s renminbi (yuan). This trend reflects a growing desire to mitigate risks associated with dollar concentration amid rising geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and shifting global trade dynamics.

Record Gold Buying: The New Reserve Strategy
Unprecedented Pace of Accumulation
Central banks have added more than 1,000 tonnes of gold annually for three consecutive years, more than double the average annual purchase of 400–500 tonnes seen in the previous decade. According to the World Gold Council’s 2025 Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey, this aggressive accumulation is a direct response to mounting global uncertainty and the need for assets that perform well during crises.
Survey Highlights
• An all-time high of 95% of central banks surveyed anticipate an increase in global gold reserves over the coming year, compared to 81% in the previous year.
• 43% of respondents plan to increase their own gold reserves in the coming 12 months, the highest reading ever recorded.
• Not a single central bank surveyed anticipates reducing its gold holdings in the near term.

Why Gold?
Gold’s appeal lies in its historical role as a crisis hedge, its effectiveness in portfolio diversification, and its ability to counteract inflation. The asset’s performance during recent global crises has only reinforced its strategic value for monetary authorities.

The Dollar’s Waning Grip
Declining Dollar Allocations
Nearly three-quarters of central banks now expect their dollar holdings to decrease over the next five years, a significant jump from 62% last year. This marks a clear trend toward de-dollarisation as policymakers seek to reduce exposure to U.S. fiscal and political risks.
Geopolitical and Economic Drivers
• The aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and subsequent Western sanctions have heightened awareness of the vulnerabilities associated with holding dollar-denominated assets.
• Trade protectionism, rising U.S. debt, and concerns over future policy unpredictability are also prompting reserve managers to look for alternatives.

Diversification: Euro and Yuan Gain Favor
Euro’s Steady Appeal
The euro remains the second-most preferred reserve currency. Central banks see it as a stable, liquid alternative, especially as the European Union continues to strengthen its financial infrastructure.
Yuan’s Rising Profile
The Chinese yuan is steadily gaining ground in global reserves. While still a small share compared to the dollar and euro, its inclusion in the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights basket and China’s growing influence in global trade are making it increasingly attractive for central banks looking to diversify.

Risk Management and Strategic Allocation
Active Reserve Management on the Rise
The share of central banks actively adjusting their gold holdings rose from 37% in 2024 to 44% in 2025. While boosting returns remains a key objective, risk management—particularly in the face of geopolitical shocks—has become a primary motivator.
Domestic Gold Storage Trends
Another notable shift is the increasing preference for storing gold domestically. The share of central banks choosing domestic storage rose from 41% in 2024 to 59% in 2025, reflecting a desire for greater control and security.

Implications for Global Markets
Gold Price Outlook
With central banks expected to continue their buying spree, the outlook for gold prices remains robust. The metal’s recent surge to record highs underscores its enduring appeal amid uncertainty.
Currency Market Dynamics
As allocations to the euro and yuan rise, their roles in international trade and finance are likely to strengthen, potentially reducing the dollar’s influence over time.
A New Era of Reserve Management
The ongoing diversification marks a fundamental shift in how central banks approach reserve management, with implications for global liquidity, exchange rate stability, and the future of international monetary relations.

Conclusion
Central banks are signaling a decisive move away from overreliance on the U.S. dollar, embracing gold and, increasingly, the euro and yuan as pillars of their reserve strategies. This transformation, driven by a complex web of geopolitical, economic, and financial factors, is setting the stage for a more multipolar global reserve system. As this trend accelerates, the world’s monetary landscape will continue to evolve, with gold at the center of this new era of diversification.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The image added is for representation purposes only

Gold Prices Plunge as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Triggers Market Volatility

Central Banks Shift: Dollar's Global Reserves Decline

Central Banks Shift: Dollar's Global Reserves Decline

Central Banks Shift: Dollar’s Global Reserves Decline

 

Central banks worldwide are gradually reducing their reliance on the US dollar for foreign exchange reserves, marking a significant shift in the global financial landscape.

Summary:

The US dollar’s dominance in global foreign exchange reserves diminishes as central banks diversify their holdings to reduce revaluation losses and improve portfolio stability. Although the dollar continues to account for most global reserves, its share has steadily decreased over the last twenty years. Analysts point to factors such as geopolitical uncertainties, the emergence of alternative currencies like the Chinese yuan, and changes in global trade patterns as key reasons for this shift.

Global Reserve Composition Undergoes a Subtle Shift

Historically regarded as the cornerstone of international financial stability, the dollar is slowly losing its grip on global foreign exchange reserves. Recent data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reveals that the US dollar’s share of global forex reserves has decreased to around 58%, down from more than 70% at the start of the millennium.
While it remains the primary global reserve currency, this gradual decline suggests that central banks are becoming more cautious about relying on a single currency. There’s a precise movement towards diversifying their portfolios to enhance returns and protect against monetary and geopolitical risks.
Economists point to several factors behind this trend: ongoing US inflation, the dollar’s use in sanctions, concerns about revaluation with shifting interest rates, and the emergence of regional currencies offering alternative trade solutions.

Central Banks Rethinking Dollar Dependency

The evolving strategies of global central banks indicate a notable shift in how they manage their reserves. Instead of predominantly investing in US Treasury securities or dollar-based assets, monetary authorities opt for a more diversified approach that includes gold, the euro, the Chinese yuan (renminbi), and various regional currencies.
Dr. Nandini Bhattacharya, an economist from a prominent global financial think tank, states, “While the dollar remains essential for international trade and finance, relying too heavily on a single currency is increasingly recognized as a structural risk. Diversifying helps to reduce potential losses from currency revaluation and preserves purchasing power during market volatility.”
Countries like Russia, China, India, Brazil, and some ASEAN nations have reduced their dollar holdings, shifting reserves to currencies that align more closely with their trade and strategic needs.

Geopolitical Tensions Accelerating the Shift

The dollar’s strategic deployment in geopolitics serves as a significant driver of this ongoing trend. The implementation of US-led economic sanctions, particularly aimed at nations such as Russia, Iran, and Venezuela, has led many countries to reconsider their reserve strategies.
For example, Russia has dramatically reduced its dollar reserves following the 2014 Crimea crisis and the ensuing sanctions. By 2021, only 16% of its reserves were in dollars, down from over 40% a decade earlier. Similarly, China has been decreasing its holdings of US treasuries, which were valued at $868 billion in early 2024, a decline from more than $1.3 trillion in 2013.
Neutral economies are concerned that distancing from Western alliances may prompt financial retaliation tied to the dollar, leading to increased demand for “politically neutral” reserve assets like gold and the Swiss franc.

Rise of the Renminbi and Other Currencies

Although the Chinese yuan (CNY) is a relatively minor player in global reserves, its presence in central bank allocations has steadily increased. According to the IMF’s COFER (Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves) data, the yuan made up nearly 3% of global reserves in 2023, a rise from just 1% in 2016.
China’s expanding trade influence and efforts to internationalize the yuan, primarily through Belt and Road Initiative projects and energy transactions, indicate it may become a complementary reserve asset.
The euro, yen, franc, and pound are top alternatives to the US dollar, but none can fully replace it due to a lack of infrastructure. However, together with gold and regional currencies, they offer a diversified defense against risks.

Gold Reclaims Its Luster in Reserve Portfolios

A notable trend is the revival of gold in foreign exchange reserves. Given the climate of fluctuating interest rates, concerns over currency devaluation, and inflationary challenges, gold has become a sought-after safe-haven asset. Central banks, particularly in emerging nations such as India, Turkey, Uzbekistan, and Thailand, have recently increased their gold purchases.
According to the World Gold Council, central bank demand for gold hit unprecedented levels in 2023, with more than 1,100 tonnes added to global reserves. This indicates a diminishing trust in fiat currencies amid uncertain conditions.

Challenges to a Post-Dollar World

Analysts advise prudence before hastily concluding that the dollar’s supremacy is waning, despite prevailing market trends. The dollar still plays a central role in SWIFT transactions, global trade invoicing, and international debt issuance. Its unique ability to provide liquidity, stability, and convertibility remains unparalleled.
For any currency to effectively challenge the dollar, it would require robust, accessible financial markets, solid legal frameworks, and complete capital account convertibility—conditions even the euro and yuan do not fully possess.
The global financial landscape is shifting from a unipolar to a multipolar reserve system, with the gradual decline of the dollar impacting monetary independence, trade, and geopolitical relationships.

Conclusion: Slow Transition, Lasting Impact

The slight decrease in the dollar’s dominance in global foreign exchange reserves indicates a significant change in the international financial landscape. As central banks aim to protect themselves from external disruptions, political instability, and currency fluctuations, we may move toward an era characterized by diverse reserve currencies.
The shift indicates a growing awareness of the risks of overreliance on the dollar, driving nations towards currency diversification as a key part of their financial strategies in a multipolar world.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The image added is for representation purposes only

Raymond Realty Demerger Completed, Shareholders to Receive Shares on 1:1 Basis